20 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

El Geish vs Pyramids FC Premier League prediction & result

Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo
Full time1 – 4

Final score: El Geish 1-4 Pyramids FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% El Geish, 27% draw, 57% Pyramids FC — fair odds of 6.25, 3.70 and 1.75.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Pyramids FC at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

El Geish0%Draw1%Pyramids FC99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Mohanad Lashinassist: Walid El Karti
15'
⚽Mostafa Zico
🔁Walid Benbellaout: I. Ouro-Agoro
28'
⚽Ahmed Tarekassist: Khaled Abo Ziada
34'
Mohamed Atef
39'
45+1'
•Youssef Obama
57'
🔁Nadhir Benboualiout: Mahmoud Saber
58'
🔁Mostafa Zicoout: Mostafa Fathi
🔁Islam Moharebout: Mostafa Khawaga
66'
🔁Mohamed Atefout: Komlavi Komi
66'
77'
⚽Mahmoud Saber
78'
🔁Youssef Obamaout: Mahmoud Zalaka
78'
🔁Nasser Maherout: Ahmed Atef
🔁Karim Tarekout: Mohamed Hany
81'
🔁Ahmed Tarekout: Ragab Omran
81'
84'
🔁Karim Hafezout: Khaled Mohamed Awad
86'
•Mahmoud Saber
Khaled Abo Ziada
87'
Mohamed Fathallah
88'
89'
⚽Mahmoud Zalaka (pen)

Match stats — El Geish vs Pyramids FC

42%Possession58%
16Shots22
3On target8
5Corners7
1.25xG2.47

Goals against chances

El Geish1 from 1.25 xGabout what the chances were worth
Pyramids FC4 from 2.47 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

El Geish 4-3-3
  • 18Emad El SayedG
  • 8Ahmed Abdel Rahman ZolaD
  • 24Z. MohamedD
  • 4Mohamed FathallahD
  • 21Khaled Abo ZiadaD
  • 17Walid BenbellaM
  • 32Yehia MostafaM
  • 25Ahmed TarekM
  • 12Islam MoharebF
  • 11Karim TarekF
  • 30Mohamed AtefF
Substitutes
  • 6Khaled StouhiD
  • 22Mostafa KhawagaM
  • 10Mohamed HanyF
  • 14Ahmed WahidM
  • 13Komlavi KomiF
  • 7Ragab OmranM
  • 28I. Ouro-AgoroF
  • 1Omar RadwanG
  • 15Mahmoud ShabanaD
Coach: Gomaa Mashhour
Pyramids FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1Ahmed El ShenawyG
  • 15M. ChibiD
  • 3Mahmoud MareiD
  • 34Eyad El AskalanyD
  • 29Karim HafezD
  • 18W. El KartiM
  • 14Mohanad LasheenM
  • 7Youssef ObamaM
  • 30Mostafa ZicoM
  • 22Nasser MaherM
  • 13A. BenboualiF
Substitutes
  • 9Ahmed AbdelkaderM
  • 24Khaled Mohamed AwadD
  • 11Mostafa FathiF
  • 16Z. HaithemG
  • 20Abdel Rahman MagdiF
  • 23Ahmed Atef OttaM
  • 8Mahmoud SaberM
  • 4Ahmed SamyD
  • 17Mahmoud ZalakaF
Coach: R. Mokwena

Form going into El Geish vs Pyramids FC

El Geish

Premier League

  • L0-3away to National Bank of Egypt13 October 2026
  • L0-1Smouha SC14 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Olympic El Qanah7 September 2026

Pyramids FC

Premier League

  • W4-1Ceramica Cleopatra12 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Enppi17 September 2026
  • W1-0El Gouna FC9 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14El Geish8224612-68
1Pyramids FC8800194+1524

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: El Geish vs Pyramids FC

  • 27 September 2025Pyramids FC 4–0 El GeishPremier League
  • 23 February 2025Pyramids FC 2–1 El GeishPremier League
  • 11 August 2024El Geish 2–5 Pyramids FCPremier League
  • 5 April 2024Pyramids FC 0–0 El GeishPremier League
  • 16 January 2024El Geish 2–2 Pyramids FCLeague Cup
  • 14 July 2023Pyramids FC 4–2 El GeishPremier League

Leading scorers: El Geish and Pyramids FC

El Geish

GoalsAssists

  • Islam Mohareb21

Pyramids FC

GoalsAssists

  • Mostafa Zico31
  • Mohanad Lasheen23
  • Youssef Obama21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Pyramids FC won 4–1 at El Geish. The model had made a win for Pyramids FC its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mohanad Lashin 6' for Pyramids FC, Mostafa Zico 15' for Pyramids FC, Ahmed Tarek 34' for El Geish, Mahmoud Saber 77' for Pyramids FC, Mahmoud Zalaka (penalty) 89' for Pyramids FC. On expected goals it finished 1.25–2.47.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave El Geish a 23.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 10.8% after a win, 19.6% after a draw, 26.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.7%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

For Pyramids FC the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 49.9% going in: 55.5% after a win, 43.0% after a draw, 36.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.5%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on El Geish v Pyramids FC has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 22% / 31% / 47% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 16% / 27% / 57%: the biggest move is Pyramids FC's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. El Geish win16%▼ −6
  2. Draw27%▼ −4
  3. Pyramids FC win57%▲ +10

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.