24 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

CF Montreal vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Saputo Stadium, Montreal
Referee: Lukasz Szpala, USA
Full time0 – 2

Final score: CF Montreal 0-2 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 16% CF Montreal, 24% draw, 60% Nashville SC — fair odds of 6.25, 4.17 and 1.67.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nashville SC at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Daniel Pereira
13'
Viktor Radojević
48'
51'
⚽Sam Surridge
65'
Elias Saad
67'
🔁matthew corcoranout: Edvard Sandvik Tagseth
67'
🔁Elias Saadout: Warren Madrigal
70'
Jeisson Palacios
🔁Dante Sealyout: Wikelman·Carmona
71'
76'
⚽Samsy Keita (OG)
79'
🔁Cristian Espinozaout: Alex Muyl
79'
🔁Patrick Yazbekout: Bryan Acosta
🔁Alexis Sanchezout: Daniel Rios
79'
🔁Samuel Pietteout: Matthew Longstaff
79'
🔁Daniel Pereiraout: Frankie Amaya
87'
🔁Olger Escobarout: Fabian Herbers
87'
88'
🔁Andy Najarout: josh bauer

Match stats — CF Montreal vs Nashville SC

44%Possession56%
10Shots8
6On target4
6Corners5
0.56xG1.84

Goals against chances

CF Montreal0 from 0.56 xGless than the chances were worth
Nashville SC2 from 1.84 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

CF Montreal 4-2-3-1
  • 41S. KeitaG
  • 27D. BugajD
  • 24E. MoralesD
  • 4B. VeraD
  • 28V. RadojevićD
  • 6S. PietteM
  • 7D. PereiraM
  • 18H. SynchukM
  • 29O. EscobarM
  • 17D. SealyM
  • 10A. SánchezF
Substitutes
  • 25F. AmayaM
  • 1S. BrezaG
  • 16W. CarmonaM
  • 5B. CraigD
  • 21F. HerbersF
  • 8M. LongstaffM
  • 22V. LoturiM
  • 13L. PetrassoD
  • 14D. RíosF
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
  • 99B. SchwakeG
  • 31A. NajarD
  • 4J. PalaciosD
  • 3M. WoledziD
  • 27R. Baker-WhitingD
  • 8P. YazbekM
  • 16M. CorcoranM
  • 7C. EspinozaM
  • 10H. MukhtarM
  • 11E. SaadM
  • 9S. SurridgeF
Substitutes
  • 22J. BauerD
  • 2D. LovitzD
  • 41W. MadrigalF
  • 5J. MaherD
  • 14S. MohammedM
  • 19A. MuylM
  • 20E. TagsethM
  • 1J. WillisG
  • 6B. AcostaM
Coach: B. Callaghan

Form going into CF Montreal vs Nashville SC

CF Montreal

Major League Soccer

  • D1-1away to Seattle Sounders18 October 2026

Nashville SC

Major League Soccer

  • D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15CF Montreal3468203769-3226
1Nashville SC3423837125+4677

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs Nashville SC

  • 23 July 2026Nashville SC 1–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 4 October 2025CF Montreal 1–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 23 March 2025Nashville SC 3–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 25 May 2024CF Montreal 0–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 5 May 2024Nashville SC 4–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 21 June 2023CF Montreal 1–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: CF Montreal and Nashville SC

CF Montreal

GoalsAssists

  • P. Owusu156

Nashville SC

GoalsAssists

  • S. Surridge211
  • H. Mukhtar167

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nashville SC won 2–0 at CF Montreal. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Nashville SC at 60%. The goals: Sam Surridge 51' for Nashville SC, Samsy Keita (own goal) 76' for Nashville SC. On expected goals it finished 0.56–1.84.

How the call on CF Montreal v Nashville SC has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 19% / 25% / 56% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 16% / 24% / 60%: the biggest move is Nashville SC's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. CF Montreal win16%▼ −3
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. Nashville SC win60%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.