FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle Sounders.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% FC Cincinnati, 22% draw, 20% Seattle Sounders — fair odds of 1.72, 4.55 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Cincinnati at 58% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
- W2-1New York City FC19 August 2026
- D1-1away to Orlando City SC15 August 2026
- W4-2San Jose Earthquakes1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Columbus Crew25 July 2026
- W4-3Vancouver Whitecaps22 July 2026
Seattle Sounders
- L1-2Austin20 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- 12 March 2023FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- 28 September 2022Seattle Sounders 1–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 3 March 2019Seattle Sounders 4–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
- K. Denkey13 goals2 assists
- Evander12 goals8 assists
Seattle Sounders
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.