22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result

Saputo Stadium, Montreal
Full time2 – 2

Final score: CF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% CF Montreal, 19% draw, 15% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 1.52, 5.26 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CF Montreal at 66% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

CF Montreal

  • W2-1away to Columbus Crew19 August 2026
  • D1-1DC United15 August 2026
  • D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
  • L0-1Inter Miami25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Nashville SC23 July 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy

  • W1-0San Jose Earthquakes20 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Houston Dynamo16 August 2026
  • D0-0FC Dallas2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes26 July 2026
  • L1-3St. Louis City23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

  • 5 July 2022Los Angeles Galaxy 4–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 22 September 2019Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 21 May 2018CF Montreal 0–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 8 April 2017Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 29 May 2016CF Montreal 3–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 13 September 2015Los Angeles Galaxy 0–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy

CF Montreal

  • P. Owusu13 goals6 assists

Los Angeles Galaxy

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.