Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chengdu Better City 0-1 Dalian Zhixing.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Chengdu Better City, 26% draw, 28% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Chengdu Better City at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
Line-ups
- 32Liu DianzuoG
- 4He YiranD
- 18Han PengfeiD
- 28Egor SorokinD
- 2Hu HetaoD
- 16Yang Ming-YangM
- 5Matheus JussaM
- 11Wellington SilvaM
- 10RômuloM
- 27Baihelamu AbuduwailiM
- 9Felipe SilvaF
- 20Wang ZimingF
- 17Wang DongshengD
- 22Yang LiD
- 58Liao RongxiangM
- 15Weifeng RanG
- 1Tao JianG
- 19Dong YanfengD
- 29Iminqari MutallepM
- 39Gan ChaoM
- 20Weiguo LiuG
- 38Lü ZhuoyiD
- 2Mamadou TraoréD
- 6Yue SongD
- 12Feng BoxuanD
- 40Jintao LiaoM
- 4Isnik AlimiM
- 9Pedro DelgadoM
- 10Nicolae StanciuM
- 7Luo JingM
- 30Frank AcheampongF
- 27Yang MingruiM
- 21Peng LüM
- 23Shan HuangM
- 26Zihao HuangG
- 1Ge PengG
- 33Haiqing CaoD
- 28Kangbo SunD
- 5Peng ShunjieD
- 44Feng JinF
Form going into Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
Super League
- L0-3away to SHANGHAI SIPG18 October 2026
- L0-1Tianjin Teda10 October 2026
- D0-0away to Henan Jianye6 September 2026
Dalian Zhixing
Super League
- W3-1Sichuan Jiuniu17 October 2026
- W4-0away to Qingdao Youth Island11 October 2026
- W2-1Qingdao Jonoon5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chengdu Better City | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 38 | +15 | 52 |
| 1 | Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 44 | +5 | 52 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing
- 23 May 2026Dalian Zhixing 2–0 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 8 August 2025Dalian Zhixing 0–2 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 6 April 2025Chengdu Better City 2–0 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
Leading scorers: Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
GoalsAssists
- Felipe183
- Wellington Silva106
Dalian Zhixing
GoalsAssists
- F. Acheampong124
- N. Stanciu105
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dalian Zhixing won 1–0 at Chengdu Better City. The model had leaned towards a win for Chengdu Better City at 46% and given a win for Dalian Zhixing 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: M. Traore 66' for Dalian Zhixing.
How the call on Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 55% / 24% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 46% / 26% / 28%: the biggest move is Chengdu Better City's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- Chengdu Better City win46%▼ −9
- Draw26%▲ +2
- Dalian Zhixing win28%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.