24 October 2026, 07:30 UTC

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Super League prediction & result

Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Shenyang Urban 2-4 Hangzhou Greentown.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Shenyang Urban, 23% draw, 32% Hangzhou Greentown — fair odds of 2.22, 4.35 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Shenyang Urban at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Shenyang Urban0%Draw1%Hangzhou Greentown99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jeffinhoassist: T. Kunimoto
28'
40'
⚽Tao Qianglongassist: M. Tolic
Pan Ximing
45+2'
45+6'
⚽A. Mitrita
55'
🔁Tao Qianglongout: Felippe Cardoso
🔁Yuan Minchengout: Pang Shenghan
57'
🔁Gao Jiarunout: G. Mbenza
57'
61'
⚽Felippe Cardosoassist: A. Mitrita
🔁Tian Deaoout: Yan Dinghao
66'
🔁Tian Yinongout: Li Tixiang
66'
⚽G. Mbenza
68'
79'
🔁Sun Guowenout: Wang Shiqin
79'
🔁Tong Leiout: A. Zhang
🔁Jeffinhoout: Tian Yuda
85'
86'
⚽Y. Wang
90'
🔁Y. Wangout: Fang Hao
90'
🔁Bao Shengxinout: A. N'Doumbou

Match stats — Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown

51%Possession49%
17Shots12
5On target8
1Corners0

Line-ups

Shenyang Urban 4-1-3-2
  • 29Yan ZhangG
  • 27Jiarun GaoD
  • 3Ximing PanD
  • 26Yuan MinchengD
  • 35Li HaoranD
  • 33Yinong TianM
  • 10Takahiro KunimotoM
  • 36De'ao TianM
  • 11Binbin ChenM
  • 7Ange KouaméF
  • 47JeffinhoF
Substitutes
  • 30Pang ShenghanD
  • 9Guy MbenzaF
  • 8Dinghao YanM
  • 18Tixiang LiM
  • 17Yuda TianF
  • 16Wang Tian'aiG
  • 19Mingyu WuD
  • 5Dilmurat MawlanyazD
  • 22Liu GuoboF
Hangzhou Greentown 4-2-3-1
  • 33Bo ZhaoG
  • 16Tong LeiD
  • 5Liu HaofanD
  • 36Lucas PossignoloD
  • 26Guowen SunD
  • 6Bao ShengxinM
  • 4Jin-seob ParkM
  • 7Qianglong TaoM
  • 10Marko TolićM
  • 28Alexandru MitrițăM
  • 11Wang YudongF
Substitutes
  • 27Felippe CardosoF
  • 38Zhang AihuiD
  • 17Shiqin WangD
  • 8Alexander N'DoumbouM
  • 18Hao FangF
  • 32Huo ShenpingG
  • 1Chunyu DongG
  • 47Yanbin WangD
  • 3Wang ChangD

Form going into Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown

Shenyang Urban

Super League

  • W4-0away to Qingdao Jonoon17 October 2026
  • D1-1Wuhan Three Towns11 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Tianjin Teda12 September 2026

Hangzhou Greentown

Super League

  • L0-5away to Shandong Luneng17 October 2026
  • L2-4SHANGHAI SIPG9 October 2026
  • W4-1Wuhan Three Towns18 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Shenyang Urban3085174258-1629
9Hangzhou Greentown30126125554+137

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown

  • 24 May 2026Hangzhou Greentown 0–5 Shenyang UrbanSuper League
  • 20 September 2021Hangzhou Greentown 1–0 Shenyang UrbanLeague One
  • 3 September 2021Shenyang Urban 2–2 Hangzhou GreentownLeague One
  • 15 October 2020Shenyang Urban 1–5 Hangzhou GreentownLeague One
  • 27 September 2020Hangzhou Greentown 1–0 Shenyang UrbanLeague One

Leading scorers: Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown

Shenyang Urban

GoalsAssists

  • Jeffinho122
  • G. Mbenza111

Hangzhou Greentown

GoalsAssists

  • A. Mitriță1315

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hangzhou Greentown won 4–2 at Shenyang Urban. The model had leaned towards a win for Shenyang Urban at 45% and given a win for Hangzhou Greentown 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jeffinho 28' for Shenyang Urban, Tao Qianglong 40' for Hangzhou Greentown, A. Mitrita 45+6' for Hangzhou Greentown, Felippe Cardoso 61' for Hangzhou Greentown, G. Mbenza 68' for Shenyang Urban, Y. Wang 86' for Hangzhou Greentown.

How the call on Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 38% / 23% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 45% / 23% / 32%: the biggest move is Shenyang Urban's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Shenyang Urban win45%▲ +7
  2. Draw23%=
  3. Hangzhou Greentown win32%▼ −7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.