Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Chongqing Tongliang Long, 27% draw, 22% Qingdao Jonoon — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Chongqing Tongliang Long at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
Line-ups
- 1Haoyang YaoG
- 37Wei SuoweiD
- 4Ruijie YueD
- 33LucãoD
- 3Zhang YingkaiD
- 9Alexandru CîmpanuM
- 10Ibrahim AmadouM
- 16Zhixiong ZhangM
- 18Weipeng LiangM
- 11Nany DimataF
- 7Yuwang XiangF
- 19Du YuezhengF
- 26Xiaoqiang HeD
- 15Chen ChunxinM
- 21Jiale LiuM
- 27Yongqiang WuM
- 31Wu ZitongG
- 25Yeerzhati YeerjietiG
- 6Pengxiang JinD
- 24Mingshi LiuD
- 28Pengfei MuG
- 37Zixian WeiD
- 14Zheng'ao SunD
- 23Long SongD
- 29Suda LiD
- 7Yaw YeboahM
- 20Ruicong GongM
- 6Malcom EdjoumaM
- 34Yonghao JinM
- 32Lazar TufegdžićF
- 10Carlos StrandbergF
- 9Xinyu LiuF
- 19Song WenjieF
- 33Liu JiashenD
- 31Senwen LuoM
- 8Chuangyi LinM
- 1Jun LiuG
- 16Hailong LiD
- 17Qiao WangD
- 24Ngan Cheuk PanM
Form going into Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Super League
- D1-1away to Yunnan Yukun17 October 2026
- D1-1Shandong Luneng11 October 2026
- L1-3Shanghai Shenhua6 September 2026
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
- L0-4Shenyang Urban17 October 2026
- L0-3Beijing Guoan9 October 2026
- L1-2away to Dalian Zhixing5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
- 24 May 2026Qingdao Jonoon 0–1 Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
The result against the call
Chongqing Tongliang Long beat Qingdao Jonoon 2–0. The model had made a win for Chongqing Tongliang Long its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Cimpanu 19' for Chongqing Tongliang Long, L. Dimata 30' for Chongqing Tongliang Long.
How the call on Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Jonoon has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Chongqing Tongliang Long's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Chongqing Tongliang Long win51%▲ +3
- Draw27%=
- Qingdao Jonoon win22%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.