6 November 2026, 23:00 UTC

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota Primera A prediction & result

Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Chico, 30% draw, 36% Internacional de Bogota — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Internacional de Bogota at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
⚽C. Blanco Betancur (OG)
⚽J. Diaz (pen)
44'
49'
M. Rodas
⚽J. Diaz (pen)
59'
59'
🔁J. Caballeroout: D. Duarte
59'
🔁C. Dajomeout: F. Bone
65'
R. Valino
🔁A. Mayaout: Y. Cabrera
66'
🔁J. Pimentelout: S. Viveros
66'
71'
🔁M. Rodasout: F. Chaverra
🔁C. Blanco Betancurout: J. Palma
80'
80'
🔁R. Manjarresout: J. Palomeque
D. Polanco
81'
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
81'
85'
J. Castro
🔁S. Meraout: J. Pimentel Betancourt
90+3'
🔁E. Sarriaout: J. C. Palacios
90+3'

Match stats — Chico vs Internacional de Bogota

52%Possession48%
10Shots12
4On target5
7Corners10
2.2xG0.91

Goals against chances

Chico2 from 2.20 xGabout what the chances were worth
Internacional de Bogota1 from 0.91 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Chico
  • 1David AgudeloG
  • 11Delio RamírezD
  • 2Daniel PolancoD
  • 4Jefferson MenaD
  • 14Cristian BlancoD
  • 17Estiven SarriaM
  • 28Jesús CárdenasM
  • 6Juan DiazM
  • 16Santiago MeraM
  • 22Alejandro MayaF
  • 21Jacobo PimentelF
Substitutes
  • 20Sebastián ViverosM
  • 10Yesus CabreraM
  • 25Sebastián PalmaD
  • 18Junior PalaciosD
  • 19Jeronimo PimentelM
  • 12Branndon ZapataG
  • 8Sebastian SalazarM
Coach: Jhon Gomez
Internacional de Bogota
  • 1Wuilker FaríñezG
  • 2Carlos VivasD
  • 4Mateo RodasD
  • 26Agustín IrazoqueD
  • 20Joan CastroM
  • 24Ruben ManjarresM
  • 5Larry VásquezM
  • 13Miguel PerniaM
  • 23Johan CaballeroF
  • 11Cristián DájomeF
  • 7Fabricio SanguinettiF
Substitutes
  • 10Facundo BonéF
  • 9Diego DuarteF
  • 17Fabian ChaverraM
  • 32Jhon PalomequeM
  • 12Juan CarrascoG
  • 6Miguel AmayaD
  • 14Mateo SantamariaM
  • 22Sebastián GiradoF
  • 27Emilio GutiérrezF
Coach: Ricardo Valino

Form going into Chico vs Internacional de Bogota

Chico

Primera A

  • L0-2away to Deportivo Cali1 November 2026
  • D1-1Junior28 October 2026
  • W1-0Bucaramanga23 October 2026

Internacional de Bogota

Primera A

  • W3-1Independiente Medellin29 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Alianza Valledupar25 October 2026
  • W2-1Fortaleza FC20 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Chico195591529-1420
13Internacional de Bogota195862525023

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chico vs Internacional de Bogota

  • 27 April 2026Internacional de Bogota 4–0 ChicoPrimera A
  • 12 August 2025Chico 0–0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
  • 22 February 2025Internacional de Bogota 0–1 ChicoPrimera A
  • 29 October 2024Chico 1–0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
  • 8 April 2024Internacional de Bogota 4–0 ChicoPrimera A
  • 9 September 2023Internacional de Bogota 0–0 ChicoPrimera A

Leading scorers: Chico and Internacional de Bogota

Chico

No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Internacional de Bogota

GoalsAssists

  • F. Sanguinetti107

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Chico beat Internacional de Bogota 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Internacional de Bogota at 36% and given a win for Chico 34%. The goals: C. Blanco Betancur (own goal) 33' for Internacional de Bogota, J. Diaz (penalty) 44' for Chico, J. Diaz (penalty) 59' for Chico. Sent off: R. Valino (Internacional de Bogota) 65'. On expected goals it finished 2.20–0.91.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Chico a 35.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 1.6% after a win, 37.5% after a draw, 64.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 1.6%, 33.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Primera A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.