5 November 2026, 01:30 UTC

Millonarios vs America de Cali Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin, Bogota
Referee: Wilmar Roldan, Colombia
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Millonarios 0-0 America de Cali.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Millonarios, 29% draw, 29% America de Cali — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Millonarios at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Millonarios4%Draw93%America de Cali3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

R. Urena
45+2'
46'
🔁B. Cordobaout: O. Bertel
46'
🔁J. Cavadiaout: Y. Quintero
46'
Y. Quintero
62'
🔁T. Angelout: D. Valencia
🔁R. Contrerasout: L. Castro
64'
🔁J. Cuadradoout: A. Estupinan
64'
74'
🔁J. Palaciosout: J. Murillo
🔁D. Silvaout: F. Chaverra
74'
80'
L. Quinones
90+7'
N. Hernandez

Match stats — Millonarios vs America de Cali

57%Possession43%
26Shots4
8On target2
7Corners4
1.45xG0.66

Goals against chances

Millonarios0 from 1.45 xGless than the chances were worth
America de Cali0 from 0.66 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Millonarios 4-2-3-1
  • 1Javier BurraiG
  • 3Samuel MartínD
  • 4Stiven BarreiroD
  • 6Sergio MosqueraD
  • 22Sebastián ValenciaD
  • 18Rodrigo UreñaM
  • 19Mateo GarcíaM
  • 10Daniel RuizM
  • 14David Macalister SilvaM
  • 7Juan CuadradoM
  • 27Rodrigo ContrerasF
Substitutes
  • 23Leonardo CastroF
  • 11Andrey EstupiñánF
  • 13Francisco ChaverraM
  • 12James AguirreG
  • 20Danovis BangueroD
  • 43Cristian UparelaD
  • 17Jorge AriasD
  • 28Stiven VegaM
  • 25Darwin QuinteroM
America de Cali 4-4-2
  • 1Jean FernandesG
  • 13Mateo Castillo MárquezD
  • 24Cristian TovarD
  • 44Brayan CórdobaD
  • 22Nicolás HernándezD
  • 23Luis QuiñonesM
  • 15Rafael CarrascalM
  • 6José CavadiaM
  • 88Tilman PalaciosM
  • 21Tomás ÁngelF
  • 10Yeison GuzmánF
Substitutes
  • 30Omar BertelD
  • 18Yani QuinteroM
  • 9Daniel ValenciaF
  • 7Jhon MurilloF
  • 12Juan MontoyaG
  • 2Marlon TorresD
  • 31Juan AponzáM
  • 36Jhordy CamachoF

Form going into Millonarios vs America de Cali

Millonarios

Primera A

  • D1-1Once Caldas21 October 2026
  • W4-1Jaguares17 October 2026

America de Cali

Primera A

  • W2-1Fortaleza FC29 October 2026
  • W3-1Cucuta24 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Millonarios197932716+1130
2America de Cali1910633115+1636

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Millonarios vs America de Cali

  • 20 April 2026America de Cali 3–1 MillonariosPrimera A
  • 8 October 2025Millonarios 2–1 America de CaliPrimera A
  • 17 April 2025America de Cali 0–0 MillonariosPrimera A
  • 19 January 2025Millonarios 1–1 America de CaliFriendlies Clubs
  • 12 October 2024America de Cali 2–1 MillonariosPrimera A
  • 8 February 2024Millonarios 1–0 America de CaliPrimera A

Leading scorers: Millonarios and America de Cali

Millonarios

GoalsAssists

  • A. Estupiñán194
  • L. Castro126
  • R. Contreras101

America de Cali

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Guzmán206

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Millonarios and America de Cali drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Millonarios at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.45–0.66.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Millonarios a 98.4% chance to finish in the top eight: 100.0% after a win, 99.0% after a draw, 95.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 99.0%, 0.6 points higher than before the match.

For America de Cali the question was the chance to finish top of the Clausura, 21.5% going in: 45.0% after a win, 15.6% after a draw, 9.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 15.6%, 5.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Primera A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.