8 November 2026, 01:30 UTC

Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Referee: Joel Alarcon
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Cienciano 1-2 Sport Huancayo.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Cienciano, 26% draw, 30% Sport Huancayo — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cienciano at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cienciano0%Draw4%Sport Huancayo96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Neri Bandieraassist: Carlos Cabello
5'
⚽Matias Succar (pen)
21'
38'
•Jean Franco Falconí
40'
⚽Javier Sanguinetti (pen)
🔁Claudio Nuñezout: Didier La Torre
45'
58'
⚽Daniel porozoassist: Javier Sanguinetti
59'
Daniel porozo
62'
🔁Piero Magallanesout: Aldo Quinonez
66'
🔁Marcelo·Gaonaout: Juan Barreda
67'
Omar Alberto Labrador Gutierrez
•Maximiliano Amondarain
74'
Maximiliano Amondarain
75'
🔁Ademar Roblesout: Freddy Yovera
78'
83'
🔁Daniel porozoout: Juan David Martínez
83'
🔁Diego Carabañoout: E. Villar
🔁Matias Succarout: Ray Sandoval
85'
🔁Gerson Barretoout: Henry Caparo
90+1'
🔁Neri Bandieraout: Gonzalo Aguirre
90+2'

Match stats — Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo

56%Possession44%
16Shots13
5On target3
8Corners3
2.1xG1.52

Goals against chances

Cienciano1 from 2.10 xGless than the chances were worth
Sport Huancayo2 from 1.52 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cienciano 3-4-2-1
  • 1G. FalcónG
  • 13C. NúñezD
  • 4M. AmondarainD
  • 3K. BecerraD
  • 22C. CabelloM
  • 29A. RoblesM
  • 88G. BarretoM
  • 16M. MartinichM
  • 19M. SuccarM
  • 11N. BandieraM
  • 21C. GarcésF
Substitutes
  • 26R. AguilarD
  • 5S. AriasM
  • 8G. AguirreM
  • 39H. CaparóM
  • 14S. CaveroD
  • 31Í. EspinozaG
  • 18D. La TorreF
  • 17R. SandovalF
  • 27A. YoveraD
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Sport Huancayo 4-4-1-1
  • 12Á. ZamudioG
  • 16J. FalconíD
  • 26M. GaonaD
  • 92Y. MurilloD
  • 2Omar Alberto Labrador GutierrezD
  • 23P. MagallanesM
  • 8D. CarabañoM
  • 22R. SalcedoM
  • 11Javier Andrés SanguinettiM
  • 10N. LujánM
  • 97D. PorozoF
Substitutes
  • 91A. QuiñónezM
  • 28J. RostaingD
  • 9J. MartínezF
  • 19R. HuacchaF
  • 17J. GiménezF
  • 29A. CcorahuaG
  • 7R. CampodónicoM
  • 4J. BarredaD
  • 38E. VillarM
Coach: R. Pellejero

Form going into Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo

Cienciano

Primera División

  • L0-1away to Alianza Lima4 November 2026
  • W3-0Atletico Grau29 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Comerciantes Unidos25 October 2026
  • W1-0UTC Cajamarca18 October 2026

Sport Huancayo

Primera División

  • W2-0FBC Melgar2 November 2026
  • L0-2away to Juan Pablo II College27 October 2026
  • W4-1Alianza Atletico24 October 2026
  • W2-1Cusco16 October 2026

What these results say

  • Cienciano scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Sport Huancayo won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Sport Huancayo scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Sport Huancayo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Peru Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Cienciano33155135446+850
8Sport Huancayo33155134849-150

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo

  • 24 May 2026Sport Huancayo 2–2 CiencianoPrimera División
  • 21 September 2025Sport Huancayo 5–2 CiencianoPrimera División
  • 29 April 2025Cienciano 2–1 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
  • 18 September 2024Cienciano 3–1 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
  • 12 April 2024Sport Huancayo 1–2 CiencianoPrimera División
  • 22 July 2023Cienciano 1–0 Sport HuancayoPrimera División

Leading scorers: Cienciano and Sport Huancayo

Cienciano

GoalsAssists

  • C. Garcés184
  • A. Hohberg125
  • N. Bandiera91

Sport Huancayo

GoalsAssists

  • Javier Andrés Sanguinetti105

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sport Huancayo won 2–1 at Cienciano. The model had leaned towards a win for Cienciano at 44% and given a win for Sport Huancayo 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Neri Bandiera 5' for Cienciano, Javier Sanguinetti (penalty) 40' for Sport Huancayo, Daniel porozo 58' for Sport Huancayo. Sent off: Maximiliano Amondarain (Cienciano) 75'. On expected goals it finished 2.10–1.52.

How the call on Cienciano v Sport Huancayo has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 46% / 26% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is Cienciano's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Cienciano win44%▼ −2
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Sport Huancayo win30%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.