8 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result

Cepheus Park, Randers
Referee: Svend Funder
Full time1 – 6

Final score: Randers FC 1-6 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Randers FC, 28% draw, 46% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 3.85, 3.57 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Nordsjaelland at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Randers FC0%Draw1%FC Nordsjaelland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
•Alexander Lind
25'
⚽Alexander Lindassist: Ibrahim Adel
⚽Mike Themsenassist: Mohamed Sankoh
50'
53'
⚽Ibrahim Adelassist: Alexander Lind
55'
⚽Peter Ankersenassist: Nicklas Rojkjaer
63'
⚽Hjalte Rasmussenassist: Alexander Lind
🔁Amady Camaraout: Felix Sommer
69'
🔁Axel Henrikssonout: John Bjorkengren
69'
🔁Elies Mahmoudout: Cyril Edudzi
69'
72'
🔁Hjalte Rasmussenout: Lamine Sadio
72'
🔁Peter Ankersenout: Juho Lähteenmäki
🔁Mike Themsenout: Simon Stüker
73'
75'
⚽Ibrahim Adelassist: Nicklas Rojkjaer
78'
🔁Tobias Salquistout: Stephen Acquah
🔁Mohamed Sankohout: Hector Lux
78'
80'
⚽Alexander Lindassist: Ibrahim Adel
81'
•Alexander Lind

Match stats — Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland

38%Possession62%
5Shots12
2On target6
0Corners1
0.36xG2.96

Goals against chances

Randers FC1 from 0.36 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Nordsjaelland6 from 2.96 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Randers FC 5-4-1
  • 1P. IzzoG
  • 11E. MahmoudD
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 27N. HoplandD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 15M. SjølstadD
  • 36A. CamaraM
  • 21A. HenrikssonM
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 30M. SankohF
Substitutes
  • 31F. SommerD
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 77K. JunkerF
  • 6J. BjörkengrenM
  • 10W. CaddyF
  • 33C. EdudziF
  • 29S. StukerD
  • 26H. HoyrupM
  • 5O. JonesD
Coach: R. Bertelsen
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 3T. SalquistD
  • 25V. NelssonD
  • 4Noah MarkmannD
  • 2P. AnkersenM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 8N. RøjkjærM
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 40H. Boe RasmussenF
  • 11A. LindF
  • 14Ibrahim AdelF
Substitutes
  • 15S. AcquahD
  • 10P. AmoakoF
  • 29V. BerthelsenM
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 5J. LähteenmäkiD
  • 37Lamine SadioM
  • 21M. HeydeM
  • 28M. WalkerD
  • 16J. BuskG
Coach: J. Olsen

Form going into Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland

Randers FC

Superliga

  • L1-2away to Lyngby30 October 2026
  • L1-3Brondby23 October 2026
  • D0-0away to AC Horsens16 October 2026
  • L0-2Viborg11 October 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

Superliga

  • L2-3FC Midtjylland1 November 2026
  • D1-1away to Silkeborg25 October 2026
  • D3-3away to Lyngby18 October 2026
  • D0-0Odense9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Randers FC did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Randers FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Randers FC143291427-1311
4FC Nordsjaelland146532618+823

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 2 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 19 October 2025FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 22 September 2025Randers FC 3–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 2 May 2025Randers FC 3–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 13 April 2025FC Nordsjaelland 5–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 28 October 2024Randers FC 4–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

Leading scorers: Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland

Randers FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Themsen51
  • M. Sankoh41

FC Nordsjaelland

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lind63
  • Ibrahim Adel43
  • H. Boe Rasmussen42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Nordsjaelland won 6–1 at Randers FC. The model had made a win for FC Nordsjaelland its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Alexander Lind 25' for FC Nordsjaelland, Mike Themsen 50' for Randers FC, Ibrahim Adel 53' for FC Nordsjaelland, Peter Ankersen 55' for FC Nordsjaelland, Hjalte Rasmussen 63' for FC Nordsjaelland, Ibrahim Adel 75' for FC Nordsjaelland, Alexander Lind 80' for FC Nordsjaelland. On expected goals it finished 0.36–2.96.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Randers FC a 72.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 58.0% after a win, 71.9% after a draw, 80.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.7%, 8 points higher than before the match.

For FC Nordsjaelland the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 89.4% going in: 93.4% after a win, 88.0% after a draw, 83.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.4%, 4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.