Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Club Brugge KV 1-1 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Club Brugge KV, 19% draw, 14% Anderlecht — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Club Brugge KV at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Yann SommerG
- 64Kyriani SabbeD
- 58Jorne SpileersD
- 44Brandon MecheleD
- 65Joaquin SeysD
- 16Cheveyo TsawaM
- 20Hans VanakenM
- 9Carlos ForbsM
- 17Romeo VermantM
- 80Félix LemaréchalM
- 7Nicolò TresoldiF
- 41Hugo SiquetD
- 10Hugo VetlesenM
- 3Han-Beom LeeD
- 85Tian Nai KorenM
- 81Argus Vanden DriesscheG
- 32Matteo DamsD
- 62Lynnt AudoorM
- 39Milan RobberechtsF
- 72Jessi Da SilvaF
- 26Colin CoosemansG
- 79Ali MaamarD
- 4Giulian BianconeD
- 27Léo PétrotD
- 6Ludwig AugustinssonD
- 18Lukáš AmbrosM
- 29Mario StroeykensM
- 24Enric LlansanaM
- 49Jayden Onia SekeM
- 9Mihajlo CvetkovićF
- 14Danylo SikanF
- 10Marten WinklerF
- 30Ilias KoutsoupiasM
- 19Thelo AasgaardM
- 11Oliver AntmanF
- 55Marco KanaM
- 32Justin HeekerenG
- 12Andrew OmobamideleD
- 5Oleg ReabciukD
- 21Tawfik BentayebF
Form going into Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Jupiler Pro League
- W4-2away to Zulte Waregem30 October 2026
- W3-2St. Truiden25 October 2026
- W4-1away to RAAL La Louvière10 October 2026
- W3-0Genk20 September 2026
Anderlecht
Jupiler Pro League
- W4-1KVC Westerlo31 October 2026
- L0-4away to Gent25 October 2026
- W2-1away to Cercle Brugge10 October 2026
- W3-0Zulte Waregem19 September 2026
What these results say
- Club Brugge KV won every one of these 4 matches.
- Club Brugge KV scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Club Brugge KV had three goals or more.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Anderlecht had three goals or more.
- Anderlecht won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Anderlecht scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 9 | +18 | 28 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
- 3 May 2026Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 6 April 2026Club Brugge KV 4–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 8 March 2026Club Brugge KV 2–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 9 November 2025Anderlecht 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 18 May 2025Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 4 May 2025Club Brugge KV 2–1 AnderlechtCup
Leading scorers: Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
GoalsAssists
- N. Tresoldi81
- H. Vetlesen51
Anderlecht
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Brugge KV and Anderlecht drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Club Brugge KV at 67% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: H. Vanaken 41' for Club Brugge KV, M. Cvetkovic 58' for Anderlecht. On expected goals it finished 1.51–0.74.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Club Brugge KV a 64.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 66.7% after a win, 59.2% after a draw, 54.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 59.2%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.
For Anderlecht the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 15.0% going in: 20.5% after a win, 16.6% after a draw, 13.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 16.6%, 1.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.