8 November 2026, 18:15 UTC

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Referee: A. Letellier
Full time4 – 1

Final score: St. Truiden 4-1 Zulte Waregem.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% St. Truiden, 25% draw, 26% Zulte Waregem — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

St. Truiden at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

St. Truiden99%Draw1%Zulte Waregem0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Shinkawa
7'
⚽N. Ishiwatariassist: R. Vanwesemael
12'
14'
⚽Z. Atrok
27'
Z. Atrok
42'
F. Tangala
45'
E. Lofolomo
46'
🔁F. Tangalaout: Y. Mbodji
⚽I. Sebaoui (pen)
64'
🔁S. Bazdarout: F. Soelle
65'
🔁S. Shinkawaout: A. Muja
65'
🔁N. Mbukuout: K. Matsuzawa
65'
⚽K. Matsuzawaassist: A. Sissako
66'
74'
Y. Mbodji
78'
🔁Z. Atrokout: S. Ujka
78'
🔁A. Ementaout: M. Mbaye
🔁R. Vanwesemaelout: T. Hata
81'
🔁I. Sebaouiout: R. Merlen
85'

Match stats — St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem

68%Possession32%
16Shots11
9On target2
5Corners4
2.05xG1.24

Goals against chances

St. Truiden4 from 2.05 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zulte Waregem1 from 1.24 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
  • 16Léo KokuboG
  • 60Robert-Jan VanwesemaelD
  • 5Shogo TaniguchiD
  • 26Visar MusliuD
  • 23Joedrick PupeD
  • 8Abdoulaye SissakoM
  • 18Nelson IshiwatariM
  • 11Nathanaël MbukuM
  • 99Shion ShinkawaM
  • 10Ilias SebaouiM
  • 9Samed BaždarF
Substitutes
  • 7Arbnor MujaF
  • 19Frederic Soelle SoelleF
  • 38Kaito MatsuzawaF
  • 3Taiga HataD
  • 14Ryan MerlenM
  • 21Matt LendfersG
  • 4Kota TakaiD
  • 22Wolke JanssensD
  • 71Ryotaro ArakiM
Zulte Waregem 4-4-2
  • 13Brent GabrielG
  • 49Franz TangalaD
  • 45Benoit De JaegereD
  • 5Jakob KiilerichD
  • 55Yannick CappelleD
  • 21István ÁtrokM
  • 8Thomas ClaesM
  • 6Enrique LofolomoM
  • 11Marley AkéM
  • 20Tobias HedlF
  • 18Anosike EmentaF
Substitutes
  • 15Youssoupha MbodjiD
  • 10Malick MbayeF
  • 36Serxho UjkaM
  • 42Arnaud DobbelsG
  • 24Mouhamadou SallD
  • 22Ousseynou NiangM
  • 52Tuur DierickxM
  • 7Nikola MituljikićF
  • 90Akpa Chukwu HemsleyF

Form going into St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem

St. Truiden

Jupiler Pro League

  • L1-2OH Leuven1 November 2026
  • L2-3away to Club Brugge KV25 October 2026
  • L3-4away to KV Mechelen11 October 2026
  • L0-2KVC Westerlo20 September 2026

Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League

  • L2-4Club Brugge KV30 October 2026
  • L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière24 October 2026
  • L0-2Gent10 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026

What these results say

  • St. Truiden did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • St. Truiden conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • St. Truiden scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Zulte Waregem did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Zulte Waregem conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Zulte Waregem failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12St. Truiden113262222011
14Zulte Waregem113261320-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem

  • 15 February 2026St. Truiden 3–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 23 August 2025Zulte Waregem 0–2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
  • 11 January 2023Zulte Waregem 2–0 St. TruidenCup
  • 27 December 2022St. Truiden 2–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 17 September 2022Zulte Waregem 0–3 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
  • 2 April 2022Zulte Waregem 0–2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem

St. Truiden

GoalsAssists

  • S. Baždar50
  • I. Sebaoui43

Zulte Waregem

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hedl42
  • Á. Zalán40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

St. Truiden beat Zulte Waregem 4–1. The model had made a win for St. Truiden its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Shinkawa 7' for St. Truiden, N. Ishiwatari 12' for St. Truiden, Z. Atrok 14' for Zulte Waregem, I. Sebaoui (penalty) 64' for St. Truiden, K. Matsuzawa 66' for St. Truiden. Sent off: Y. Mbodji (Zulte Waregem) 74'. On expected goals it finished 2.05–1.24.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.