19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal Major League Soccer prediction & result

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Columbus Crew 1-2 CF Montreal.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Columbus Crew, 23% draw, 18% CF Montreal — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Columbus Crew at 59% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

R. Camacho
3'
5'
⚽P. Owusuassist: G. Synchuk
13'
B. Vera
🔁R. Camachoout: C. Ruvalcaba
14'
⚽T. Gillier (OG)
20'
A. Gomes
34'
48'
J. Neal
🔁M. Farsiout: A. Herrera
56'
🔁C. Adamsout: J. Martinez
56'
56'
🔁G. Synchukout: V. Loturi
68'
🔁F. Herbersout: B. Ceballos
68'
🔁J. Nealout: B. Craig
74'
B. Ceballos
78'
⚽N. Streitassist: B. Vera
79'
🔁P. Owusuout: A. Sanchez
79'
🔁N. Streitout: D. Rios
🔁D. Chambostout: T. Karumanchi
80'
🔁T. Habrouneout: D. Gazdag
80'
89'
M. Longstaff

Match stats — Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal

62%Possession38%
6Shots14
2On target7
5Corners3
0.3xG1.16

Goals against chances

Columbus Crew1 from 0.30 xGmore than the chances were worth
CF Montreal2 from 1.16 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Columbus Crew 4-4-2
  • 28Patrick SchulteG
  • 31Steven MoreiraD
  • 4Rudy CamachoD
  • 25Sean ZawadzkiD
  • 18Malte AmundsenD
  • 23Mohamed FarsiM
  • 7Dylan ChambostM
  • 20André GomesM
  • 16Taha HabrouneM
  • 46Chase AdamsF
  • 10Brais MéndezF
Substitutes
  • 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
  • 2Andres HerreraD
  • 77Josef MartínezF
  • 50Tarun KarumanchiM
  • 8Dániel GazdagM
  • 1Nicholas HagenG
  • 11Brooks LennonD
  • 26Lautaro GiacconeM
  • 14Amar SejdicM
Coach: Laurent Courtois
CF Montreal 4-3-3
  • 31Thomas GillierG
  • 27Dawid BugajD
  • 2Jalen NealD
  • 4Brayan VeraD
  • 13Luca PetrassoD
  • 7Daniel PereiraM
  • 8Matthew LongstaffM
  • 21Fabian HerbersM
  • 18Hennadii SynchukF
  • 9Prince OwusuF
  • 23Noah StreitF
Substitutes
  • 22Victor LoturiM
  • 5Brandan CraigD
  • 3Brayan CeballosD
  • 10Alexis SánchezF
  • 14Daniel RiosF
  • 1Sebastian BrezaG
  • 29Olger EscobarF
  • 6Samuel PietteM
  • 35Owen Graham-RoacheF
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Form going into Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal

Columbus Crew

  • L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Inter Miami1 August 2026
  • W2-1FC Cincinnati25 July 2026
  • L1-2New York City FC22 July 2026

CF Montreal

  • D1-1DC United15 August 2026
  • D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
  • L0-1Inter Miami25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Nashville SC23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal

  • 19 August 2026Columbus Crew 1–2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 14 May 2025CF Montreal 1–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 5 April 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 15 May 2024CF Montreal 1–3 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 27 April 2024Columbus Crew 0–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 22 October 2023Columbus Crew 2–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Columbus Crew and CF Montreal

Columbus Crew

No leading scorers listed yet.

CF Montreal

  • P. Owusu13 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.