Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Columbus Crew 3-0 Colorado Rapids.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Columbus Crew, 30% draw, 34% Colorado Rapids — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Columbus Crew at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28P. SchulteG
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 11B. LennonD
- 23M. FarsiM
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 20A. GomesM
- 8S. RodriguezM
- 10B. MendezF
- 77J. MartinezF
- 1N. HagenG
- 3E. BaillyD
- 2A. HerreraD
- 12C. RuvalcabaD
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 14A. SejdicM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 33G. TapiaF
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 24N. CobbD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5L. WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 12J. AtencioM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 13W. FrederickM
- 77D. YapiF
- 88Y. MazizF
- 93G. MinoungouF
- 61B. DowdG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 99J. TravisD
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 4R. CannonD
- 94V. RinaldiD
- 16A. HarrisF
- 32D. PhillipF
Form going into Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
All competitions we cover
- L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Nashville SC23 August 2026
- L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026
- D2-2away to Inter Miami1 August 2026
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Real Salt Lake30 August 2026
- L0-3away to San Diego23 August 2026
- W1-0Los Angeles FC20 August 2026
- W2-0Sporting Kansas City16 August 2026
- W1-0Austin2 August 2026
What these results say
- Columbus Crew did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Columbus Crew scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Columbus Crew conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Columbus Crew beat Colorado Rapids 3–0. The model had made a win for Columbus Crew its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: S. Rodriguez 22' for Columbus Crew, G. Tapia 81' for Columbus Crew, T. Habroune 90' for Columbus Crew. On expected goals it finished 2.06–0.58.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.