Orlando City SC vs San Diego Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Orlando City SC 1-0 San Diego.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Orlando City SC, 29% draw, 31% San Diego — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Orlando City SC at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Orlando City SC vs San Diego
Orlando City SC
- D3-3away to Minnesota United FC30 August 2026
- W2-1Real Salt Lake22 August 2026
- L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026
- D1-1FC Cincinnati15 August 2026
- L2-3away to New York Red Bulls1 August 2026
San Diego
- W3-1Los Angeles Galaxy30 August 2026
- W3-0Colorado Rapids23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and San Diego
Orlando City SC
- M. Ojeda11 goals1 assists
San Diego
- M. Ingvartsen11 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.