Orlando City SC vs San Diego Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Orlando City SC 1-0 San Diego.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Orlando City SC, 29% draw, 31% San Diego — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Orlando City SC at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orlando City SC vs San Diego
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71M. CrepeauG
- 24G. DorseyD
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 44B. RheinD
- 22J. EllisM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 35J. GerbetM
- 77I. AnguloM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 9D. DikeF
- 12J. OteroG
- 57Iago TeodoroD
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 10M. OjedaM
- 5Luis OtavioM
- 87M. PasalicF
- 11TiagoF
- 14T. SpicerF
- 1dos Santos CJG
- 33O. VerhoevenD
- 26M. DuahD
- 32I. MurphyD
- 5K. Sargeant
- 70A. Alvarado JrM
- 20A. GodoyM
- 12Gabriel PiraniM
- 10A. DreyerF
- 8O. ValakariF
- 99E. AchouriF
- 18D. FerreeG
- 3D. ThorhallssonD
- 25I. PilcherD
- 97C. McVeyD
- 21B. DukeM
- 19D. VazquezM
- 90A. PellegrinoF
- 77A. MightenF
- 14B. B. ZambleF
Form going into Orlando City SC vs San Diego
Orlando City SC
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Minnesota United FC30 August 2026
- W2-1Real Salt Lake22 August 2026
- L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026
- D1-1FC Cincinnati15 August 2026
- L2-3away to New York Red Bulls1 August 2026
San Diego
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Los Angeles Galaxy30 August 2026
- W3-0Colorado Rapids23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Portland Timbers20 August 2026
- W1-0away to Los Angeles FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Minnesota United FC2 August 2026
What these results say
- Orlando City SC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Orlando City SC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Orlando City SC.
- San Diego scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and San Diego
Orlando City SC
GoalsAssists
- M. Ojeda164
- A. Griezmann147
San Diego
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 57 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orlando City SC beat San Diego 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Orlando City SC at 40%. The goal: A. Griezmann 28' for Orlando City SC. On expected goals it finished 2.27–0.50.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.