Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Charlotte 0-0 Houston Dynamo.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Charlotte, 30% draw, 33% Houston Dynamo — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Charlotte at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 35W. ClearyD
- 22H. KesslerD
- 3T. ReamD
- 23D. SchneggD
- 28D. DianiM
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 11L. AbadaM
- 16P. BielM
- 10A. Saint-MaximinM
- 9I. ToklomatiF
- 21T. MillerG
- 14N. ByrneD
- 4A. PrivettD
- 44M. AgyemangD
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 13B. BronicoM
- 37R. AlokoF
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 25T. SmallsF
- 31J. BondG
- 36Felipe AndradeD
- 5Lucas HalterD
- 34A. ReschD
- 11L. EnnaliD
- 6ArturM
- 16H. HerreraM
- 19M. BoguszM
- 30A. BouzatM
- 20GuilhermeM
- 23D. McGuireF
- 26B. GillinghamG
- 3Antonio CarlosD
- 21F. NegriD
- 18D. SamassekouM
- 14D. HolmesM
- 22M. AranaM
- 17N. MarkanichF
- 24I. AliyuF
Form going into Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo
Charlotte
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Atlanta United FC29 August 2026
- W3-1DC United22 August 2026
- D3-3away to Toronto FC19 August 2026
- W3-1Columbus Crew15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Chicago Fire2 August 2026
Houston Dynamo
All competitions we cover
- D0-0San Jose Earthquakes30 August 2026
- L1-2away to St. Louis City23 August 2026
- W1-0away to Vancouver Whitecaps20 August 2026
- W1-0Los Angeles Galaxy16 August 2026
- W2-0away to New England Revolution8 August 2026
What these results say
- Charlotte scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Charlotte conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Charlotte had three goals or more.
- Houston Dynamo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Houston Dynamo kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Houston Dynamo had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Charlotte and Houston Dynamo
Charlotte
GoalsAssists
- I. Toklomati Giorno155
Houston Dynamo
GoalsAssists
- Guilherme168
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Charlotte and Houston Dynamo drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Charlotte at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: Ashley Westwood (Charlotte) 71'. On expected goals it finished 0.79–0.90.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.