31 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
Referee: Horatiu Fesnic, Romania
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Corvinul Hunedoara 2-0 Arges Pitesti.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Corvinul Hunedoara, 35% draw, 26% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 2.56, 2.86 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Corvinul Hunedoara at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Corvinul Hunedoara98%Draw2%Arges Pitesti0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
Garutti
🔁A. Fabryout: M. Bratu
46'
🔁A. Gillardout: R. Espinosa
60'
63'
🔁X. Emmersout: R. Sierra
63'
🔁T. Luvamboout: C. Micovschi
⚽I. Cararusassist: M. Bratu
81'
🔁D. N. Pirvulescuout: M. Hayatu
82'
🔁D. Albuout: D. Hrezdac
82'
85'
🔁I. Radescuout: R. Moldoveanu
85'
🔁D. Oanceaout: M. Mamadou
⚽M. Hayatuassist: R. Espinosa
90+1'
90+2'
R. Sierra

Match stats — Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti

58%Possession42%
13Shots13
3On target4
8Corners5

Line-ups

Corvinul Hunedoara 4-2-3-1
  • 12Adrian FrânculescuG
  • 13Flavius IacobD
  • 15Mihajlo IvančevićD
  • 30Antoniu ManolacheD
  • 10Alexandru NeacșaD
  • 23Ion CărărușM
  • 8Dragoș AlbuM
  • 99Emmanuel YeboahM
  • 22Andrej FábryM
  • 19Nicolae PîrvulescuM
  • 32Ángel GillardF
Substitutes
  • 41Mario BratuF
  • 9Renato EspinosaF
  • 14Muhammed HayatuF
  • 97Denis HrezdacM
  • 21Codruț SanduG
  • 5Mo AbualnadiD
  • 47Gideon GoodladM
  • 70Ronaldo DeaconuM
  • 20Sérgio RibeiroF
Arges Pitesti 4-2-3-1
  • 77Igor NikićG
  • 2Costinel TofanD
  • 15Guilherme GaruttiD
  • 3Leard SadriuD
  • 26Dorinel OanceaD
  • 22Vadim RațăM
  • 16Ionuț RădescuM
  • 11Yanis PîrvuM
  • 80Xian EmmersM
  • 92Taylor LuvamboM
  • 17Ricardo MatosF
Substitutes
  • 27Rober SierraM
  • 19Claudiu MicovschiF
  • 8Mendy MamadouF
  • 99Robert MoldoveanuF
  • 1Cătălin StratonG
  • 69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeD
  • 20Patrick DulceaM
  • 96Silviu BalaureM
  • 18Daniel SanduF

Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti

Corvinul Hunedoara

Liga I

  • L0-3Universitatea Cluj23 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Rapid17 October 2026
  • W3-2FC Voluntari9 October 2026

Arges Pitesti

Liga I

  • L0-1Uta Arad24 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 October 2026
  • L0-1CFR 1907 Cluj12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Corvinul Hunedoara156451716+122
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti

  • 28 September 2024Arges Pitesti 0–1 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga II
  • 29 August 2024Arges Pitesti 2–0 Corvinul HunedoaraCupa României
  • 9 March 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 2–0 Arges PitestiLiga II

The result against the call

Corvinul Hunedoara beat Arges Pitesti 2–0. The model had made a win for Corvinul Hunedoara its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: I. Cararus 81' for Corvinul Hunedoara, M. Hayatu 90+1' for Corvinul Hunedoara.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Corvinul Hunedoara a 10.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 6.2% after a win, 11.2% after a draw, 14.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.2%, 3.9 points lower than before the match.

For Arges Pitesti the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 31.7% going in: 21.9% after a win, 30.3% after a draw, 38.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.0%, 6.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Corvinul Hunedoara v Arges Pitesti has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 44% / 33% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 35% / 26%: the biggest move is Corvinul Hunedoara's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Corvinul Hunedoara win39%▼ −5
  2. Draw35%▲ +2
  3. Arges Pitesti win26%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.