Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 CFR 1907 Cluj.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Petrolul Ploiesti, 29% draw, 35% CFR 1907 Cluj — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Petrolul Ploiesti at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj
Line-ups
- 38Lukáš ZimaG
- 66Tiberiu CăpuşăD
- 4Paul PappD
- 71Breston MalulaD
- 2Andres DumitrescuD
- 19Léo TeixeiraM
- 8Lucho VegaM
- 20Sergiu HancaM
- 7Rodrigo MartinsM
- 80Mario IonițăF
- 10Alejandro BranF
- 99Dele IsraelM
- 18Calal HuseinovD
- 29Kilian LudewigD
- 30Rareș LeescuD
- 22Mark ȚuțuD
- 12Ștefan GeorgescuG
- 24Adam ZaianD
- 21David ParaschivM
- 28Marius CostacheM
- 31Octavian VâlceanuG
- 3Iva GelashviliD
- 21Cristian IgnatD
- 42Renato PantalonD
- 47Christopher BraunM
- 23Amin ZiblimM
- 6Ovidiu PerianuM
- 18Ervin OmićM
- 77Andres ȘfaițM
- 9Stefan DražićF
- 17Lorenzo BilibocF
- 7Adi NalićM
- 29Billel OmraniF
- 19Sergiu BuşF
- 93Marc FilipG
- 1Rareș GalG
- 45Mário CamoraD
- 86Viktor KunM
- 20Alexandru ȚîrleaD
- 41Anton KrešićD
Form going into Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj
Petrolul Ploiesti
Liga I
- W3-1away to FC Botosani23 October 2026
- D1-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe17 October 2026
- L1-3away to Farul Constanta11 October 2026
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
- D2-2Dinamo Bucuresti25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Uta Arad18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti12 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 27 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj
- 21 February 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 2–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 20 October 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 22 February 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 2–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 19 October 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 3 February 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 1–2 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 18 September 2023CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj
Petrolul Ploiesti
GoalsAssists
- A. Bran43
- Rodrigo Martins42
CFR 1907 Cluj
GoalsAssists
- S. Dražić71
- A. Cordea62
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Petrolul Ploiesti at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: S. Drazic 5' for CFR 1907 Cluj, A. J. Bran Flores 28' for Petrolul Ploiesti.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Petrolul Ploiesti a 51.3% chance to finish in the top six: 61.5% after a win, 50.2% after a draw, 40.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 50.2%, 1.1 points lower than before the match.
For CFR 1907 Cluj the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 32.3% going in: 42.0% after a win, 31.0% after a draw, 24.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 31.0%, 1.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.