CRB vs Londrina Serie B prediction & result
Final score: CRB 2-1 Londrina.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% CRB, 22% draw, 25% Londrina — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CRB at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CRB vs Londrina
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Vitor CaetanoG
- 32HeredaD
- 22BressanD
- 33LynconD
- 36Lucas LovatD
- 21Pedro CastroM
- 17ThiaguinhoM
- 8CrystopherM
- 10DanielM
- 97Dadá BelmonteM
- 9João NetoF
- 45De LuccaM
- 7Douglas BaggioF
- 26EstevãoM
- 27Fábio AlemãoD
- 18GeovaneM
- 44HenriD
- 99SaymomF
- 2KevinD
- 12MatheusG
- 1LuanG
- 75Kauê LeonardoD
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 34HeronD
- 5TárikM
- 7Victor HugoM
- 38Geovane MeurerM
- 77Guilherme DantasM
- 28HerbertM
- 99Igor BahiaF
- 2Nino ParaíbaD
- 11Pablo DyegoF
- 33KevynD
- 17João ConiF
- 18Guilherme CachoeiraF
- 9GilbertoF
- 15Gabriel LacerdaD
- 22ArturD
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaD
Form going into CRB vs Londrina
CRB
Serie B
- L0-1Botafogo SP18 October 2026
Londrina
Serie B
- W1-0Cuiaba20 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CRB | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 59 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CRB vs Londrina
- 4 July 2026Londrina 5–0 CRBSerie B
- 29 October 2023Londrina 1–1 CRBSerie B
- 1 July 2023CRB 2–1 LondrinaSerie B
- 30 August 2022Londrina 1–0 CRBSerie B
- 19 May 2022CRB 1–0 LondrinaSerie B
- 11 November 2021CRB 1–0 LondrinaSerie B
Leading scorers: CRB and Londrina
CRB
GoalsAssists
- Mikael174
- Crystopher78
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CRB beat Londrina 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for CRB at 53%. The goals: Crystopher 33' for CRB, Daniel Sampaio Simões 39' for CRB, Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos 64' for Londrina. On expected goals it finished 2.54–2.54.
How the call on CRB v Londrina has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 55% / 22% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 22% / 25%: the biggest move is CRB's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- CRB win53%▼ −2
- Draw22%=
- Londrina win25%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.