CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA 1948 2-1 Dunav Ruse.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% CSKA 1948, 25% draw, 19% Dunav Ruse — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CSKA 1948 at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse
Line-ups
- 31A. BozhevG
- 22O. GaševićF
- 3L. DvaliD
- 33H. CuellarD
- 2D. MedinaD
- 67Frédéric MacielF
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 30J. MeyerM
- 11G. RusevF
- 9A. IlievF
- 93M. DialloF
- 5B. BenamarD
- 77Elias FrancoF
- 96D. GrivićD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 70K. IlievD
- 23F. KrebsM
- 13D. SheytanovG
- 20B. SobreroM
- 14K. StrinskiM
- 33G. KitanovG
- 22S. PredevD
- 4J. CabarcasD
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
- 10K. BoychevM
- 14R. ApostolovM
- 44V. VidakovićM
- 88D. TodorovD
- 9Álex ValiñoF
- 11D. MinchevF
- 6S. YovkovD
- 19S. StefanovM
- 78E. SouM
- 77A. SimeonovF
- 69P. PepelyashevG
- 18I. KeïtaF
- 24S. GavrilovM
- 2M. DilchovskiD
- 51I. BudinovD
Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Levski Sofia5 September 2026
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Septemvri Sofia23 August 2026
- W4-1Cherno More Varna14 August 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos11 August 2026
Dunav Ruse
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Slavia Sofia7 September 2026
- D2-2Lokomotiv Sofia31 August 2026
- L1-3away to Cherno More Varna21 August 2026
- W2-1away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv16 August 2026
- L0-2Arda Kardzhali8 August 2026
What these results say
- CSKA 1948 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dunav Ruse conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunav Ruse failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse
- 26 September 2019CSKA 1948 2–1 Dunav RuseCup
Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA 1948 beat Dunav Ruse 2–1. The model had made a win for CSKA 1948 its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Mamadou Diallo 4' for CSKA 1948, jordan louis saint 46' for Dunav Ruse, Dragan Grivić 90' for CSKA 1948.
How the call on CSKA 1948 v Dunav Ruse has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 61% / 22% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 56% / 25% / 19%: the biggest move is CSKA 1948's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- CSKA 1948 win56%▼ −5
- Draw25%▲ +3
- Dunav Ruse win19%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.