7 November 2026, 23:00 UTC

Cuiaba vs Juventude Serie B prediction & result

Arena Pantanal
Referee: Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Cuiaba 1-2 Juventude.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Cuiaba, 31% draw, 38% Juventude — fair odds of 3.23, 3.23 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Juventude at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Lorenzo Silva Martins
8'
Jean Dias da Costa
45+5'
45+7'
⚽Gabriel Pires
🔁Vinicius Peixotoout: Eliel Chrystian
45'
🔁João Carlosout: Gustavo Busatto
45'
⚽Fabio lima (OG)
54'
61'
🔁Fabio limaout: Juan
61'
🔁Marcos Pauloout: Mandaca
64'
⚽Juanassist: Mandaca
🔁Jean Dias da Costaout: Guilherme De Almeida Mansano
65'
🔁Raul Lô Gonçalvesout: Eric Almeida de Melo
65'
João Basso
66'
70'
Raí da Silva Pessanha
74'
🔁Safiraout: Alan Kardec
74'
🔁Raí da Silva Pessanhaout: Luan Martins·Goncalves
🔁João Bassoout: Wesley Dias Claudino
78'
83'
🔁Diogo Barbosaout: Cristian Chagas Tarouco
84'
Alan Kardec
Vitor Mendes
88'
90+4'
•Alan Kardec
90+10'
Jandrei

Match stats — Cuiaba vs Juventude

53%Possession47%
20Shots14
11On target4
2Corners2
1.44xG0.9

Goals against chances

Cuiaba1 from 1.44 xGabout what the chances were worth
Juventude2 from 0.90 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
  • 1João CarlosG
  • 13João BassoD
  • 5CalebeD
  • 4Vitor MendesD
  • 2Igor InocêncioM
  • 30RaulM
  • 20David MiguelM
  • 36LorenzoM
  • 41KauanM
  • 77Jean DiasM
  • 29Vinicius PeixotoF
Substitutes
  • 11ElielF
  • 14EricD
  • 91LuisãoD
  • 97Luiz OtávioM
  • 23Marcos JúniorM
  • 99Nathan Cruz da Silva RosaF
  • 70Wesley DiasM
  • 12BusattoG
  • 50Pedro Felipetto Colen BarcellosM
Coach: Eduardo Barros
Juventude 3-4-3
  • 93JandreiG
  • 34Rodrigo SamD
  • 97Gabriel PinheiroD
  • 47Marcos PauloD
  • 13AderlanM
  • 75RaíM
  • 29Gabriel PiresM
  • 16Diogo BarbosaM
  • 11Fábio LimaF
  • 25Alisson SafiraF
  • 10Marcos PauloF
Substitutes
  • 44MandacaM
  • 30PatryckD
  • 12Pedro RochaG
  • 2Raí RamosD
  • 3TitiD
  • 6WadsonD
  • 9Alan KardecF
  • 5Luan GonçalvesD
  • 70Juan ChristianF
Coach: Maurício Barbieri

Form going into Cuiaba vs Juventude

Cuiaba

Serie B

  • L1-2São Bernardo1 November 2026
  • L0-1away to America Mineiro26 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Londrina20 October 2026

Juventude

Serie B

  • D2-2away to Vila Nova31 October 2026
  • W4-0Nautico Recife26 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Ceara17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Cuiaba381114133433+147
2Juventude38201175126+2571

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cuiaba vs Juventude

  • 17 July 2026Juventude 2–0 CuiabaSerie B
  • 23 November 2024Juventude 1–1 CuiabaSerie A
  • 5 September 2024Cuiaba 0–0 JuventudeSerie A
  • 13 August 2022Cuiaba 1–0 JuventudeSerie A
  • 24 April 2022Juventude 0–1 CuiabaSerie A
  • 11 September 2021Juventude 1–2 CuiabaSerie A

Leading scorers: Cuiaba and Juventude

Cuiaba

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 34 league goals as a side.

Juventude

GoalsAssists

  • Raí105

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Juventude won 2–1 at Cuiaba. The model had made a win for Juventude its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Gabriel Pires 45+7' for Juventude, Fabio lima (own goal) 54' for Cuiaba, Juan 64' for Juventude. On expected goals it finished 1.44–0.90.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Juventude a 83.0% chance to finish in the top two: 97.7% after a win, 81.8% after a draw, 65.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.7%, 14.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Serie B season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Cuiaba v Juventude has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 34% / 32% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 31% / 31% / 38%: the biggest move is Juventude's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Cuiaba win31%▼ −3
  2. Draw31%▼ −1
  3. Juventude win38%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.