Spaeri vs Dinamo Batumi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Spaeri 3-2 Dinamo Batumi.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Spaeri, 26% draw, 49% Dinamo Batumi — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Batumi at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Spaeri vs Dinamo Batumi
Line-ups
- 1B. PutkaradzeG
- 22N. ChagunavaD
- 20N. KentchadzeD
- 31G. BunturiD
- 14G. SamkharadzeD
- 6T. AskuravaM
- 8S. MaisuradzeD
- 19G. TsirdavaF
- 10Tamaz TsetskhladzeM
- 7S. GegiadzeD
- 9G. TsetskhladzeF
- 5T. TsalughelashviliM
- 2giorgi pirtakhiaD
- 13S. MathenjwaD
- 3L. KachibaiaD
- 26B. JibrilF
- 25R. InjgiaF
- 4G. GrigalashviliM
- 24Z. GolubianiM
- 23N. ChomakhidzeG
- 13N. KalichavaG
- 29I. TuritsovD
- 23M. KobakhidzeD
- 24D. CarlsonD
- 12L. LakvekhelianiD
- 10U. MaraM
- 8S. AltunashviliM
- 27L. ShengeliaF
- 18I. Oulad OmarM
- 11Paulo VitorF
- 7D. MandrîcencoM
- 35R. ChiteishviliD
- 16A. EshetiyeM
- 19N. KalandarishviliD
- 5Y. KalleyD
- 22T. KirkitadzeF
- 1L. KupatadzeG
- 15E. MahmutovićD
- 6A. MylchenkoM
- 20L. TsulukidzeM
Form going into Spaeri vs Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
Erovnuli Liga
- D0-0away to Samgurali31 October 2026
- D0-0Gagra23 October 2026
- L1-3away to Dinamo Tbilisi18 October 2026
- D3-3Torpedo Kutaisi10 October 2026
Dinamo Batumi
Erovnuli Liga
- W1-0Meshakhte1 November 2026
- W3-0Samgurali24 October 2026
- W3-1away to Gagra17 October 2026
- W1-0Dinamo Tbilisi11 October 2026
What these results say
- Spaeri did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi won every one of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spaeri | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 31 |
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 40 | +16 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Spaeri vs Dinamo Batumi
- 30 August 2026Dinamo Batumi 3–0 SpaeriErovnuli Liga
- 21 May 2026Spaeri 3–3 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 3 April 2026Dinamo Batumi 4–1 SpaeriErovnuli Liga
The result against the call
Spaeri beat Dinamo Batumi 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Batumi at 49% and given a win for Spaeri 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Uerdi Mara 12' for Dinamo Batumi, giga samcharadze (penalty) 49' for Spaeri, Gocha tsirdava 52' for Spaeri, Tornike Askurava 69' for Spaeri, Giorgi Bunturi (own goal) 90' for Dinamo Batumi.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Batumi a 51.9% chance to finish top of the regular season: 64.3% after a win, 42.7% after a draw, 33.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.9%, 18 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.