7 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion na Banovom brdu, Belgrade
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Cukaricki 2-1 Radnicki NIS.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Cukaricki, 25% draw, 21% Radnicki NIS — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cukaricki at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cukaricki97%Draw3%Radnicki NIS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽Aleksandar Vidovic
9'
Uroš Vitas
27'
Marko Mijailović
Lazar Marković
45'
53'
Franck Kanouté
Andrej bajovic
56'
•Lazar Marković
59'
🔁Andrej bajovicout: Uroš Nikolić
63'
⚽Đorđe Jovanovićassist: Sambou Sissoko
64'
67'
🔁Vukasin jovanovicout: stefan nikolic
67'
🔁Issah Abassout: Kwaku Bonsu Osei
🔁Đorđe Jovanovićout: Fiorin Durmishaj
72'
🔁karel mustmaaout: Nemanja Radonjić
72'
⚽Uros·Miladinovicassist: Sambou Sissoko
75'
79'
🔁Franck Kanoutéout: Miloš Rošević
79'
🔁Luka Izdericout: Luka Borovic
80'
Radomir Milosavljević
🔁Lazar Markovićout: Nemanja Miletić
83'
90'
Igor Ivanović

Match stats — Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS

58%Possession42%
13Shots7
5On target2
5Corners6
1.15xG0.41

Goals against chances

Cukaricki2 from 1.15 xGmore than the chances were worth
Radnicki NIS1 from 0.41 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cukaricki 4-2-3-1
  • 81V. ČarapićG
  • 24N. StankovićD
  • 23I. MaigaD
  • 26M. ĐokovićD
  • 3Z. ŠehovićD
  • 14S. SissokoM
  • 77A. BajovićM
  • 8L. MarkovićM
  • 18Karel MustmaaM
  • 10U. MiladinovićM
  • 99Đ. JovanovićF
Substitutes
  • 25F. DurmishajF
  • 4N. TomovićD
  • 54Luka MatijasevicM
  • 73N. MiletićD
  • 27A. NanqueF
  • 1Đ. NikolićG
  • 72U. NikolićM
  • 50M. PavkovF
  • 87Mateja ProkopijevićM
Coach: M. Trajković
Radnicki NIS 4-2-3-1
  • 94D. StanivukovićG
  • 18S. VeličkovićD
  • 4U. VitasD
  • 2M. MijailovićD
  • 20A. VidovićD
  • 22R. MilosavljevićM
  • 6F. KanoutéM
  • 11I. IvanovićM
  • 89Luka IzdericM
  • 7I. AbassM
  • 42V. JovanovićF
Substitutes
  • 5N. ZečevićD
  • 71D. PetrovićD
  • 19K. OseiF
  • 70Stefan NikolicM
  • 15D. KrajišnikM
  • 25B. KovačevićD
  • 12I. KostićG
  • 28G. AriyibiF
  • 14M. RoševićF
Coach: N. Drinčić

Form going into Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS

Cukaricki

Super Liga

  • D0-0away to IMT Novi Beograd1 November 2026
  • W2-0away to FK Partizan24 October 2026
  • W3-0Zemun17 October 2026
  • D2-2Macva10 October 2026

Radnicki NIS

Super Liga

  • L2-3FK Partizan28 October 2026
  • L0-2Novi Pazar23 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Radnik Surdulica16 October 2026
  • L1-4Vojvodina11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Cukaricki went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Cukaricki scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Cukaricki kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Radnicki NIS did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Radnicki NIS conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Radnicki NIS had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Cukaricki156452121022
13Radnicki NIS1422101025-158

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS

  • 25 July 2026Radnicki NIS 0–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 8 December 2025Radnicki NIS 1–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 3 August 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
  • 13 April 2025Cukaricki 2–2 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
  • 12 March 2025Cukaricki 0–2 Radnicki NISCup
  • 23 November 2024Radnicki NIS 2–2 CukarickiSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Cukaricki and Radnicki NIS

Cukaricki

GoalsAssists

  • U. Miladinović63

Radnicki NIS

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cukaricki beat Radnicki NIS 2–1. The model had made a win for Cukaricki its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Aleksandar Vidovic 4' for Radnicki NIS, Đorđe Jovanović 64' for Cukaricki, Uros·Miladinovic 75' for Cukaricki. On expected goals it finished 1.15–0.41.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cukaricki a 43.6% chance to finish in the top six: 51.1% after a win, 35.5% after a draw, 29.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.1%, 7.5 points higher than before the match.

For Radnicki NIS the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 76.9% going in: 65.0% after a win, 77.4% after a draw, 81.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 81.6%, 4.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Cukaricki v Radnicki NIS has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 51% / 26% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 54% / 25% / 21%: the biggest move is Cukaricki's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Cukaricki win54%▲ +3
  2. Draw25%▼ −1
  3. Radnicki NIS win21%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.