7 November 2026, 12:00 UTC

Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd Super Liga prediction & result

Zemun Stadium, Belgrade
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Zemun 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Zemun, 30% draw, 51% IMT Novi Beograd — fair odds of 5.26, 3.33 and 1.96.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

IMT Novi Beograd at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zemun1%Draw93%IMT Novi Beograd6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Dimitrije Tabakovic
25'
Dimitrije Tabakovic
25'
Dejan Paradina
42'
⚽Nemanja Kalatassist: Dimitrije Tabakovic
51'
Nemanja Kalat
57'
58'
🔁Tadija Cojicout: François Kamano
58'
🔁Karl Kezy Fabienout: Daniel Aghahowa
🔁nemanja belakovicout: Nikola Dovedan
62'
Dimitrije Tabakovic
67'
🔁Nemanja Kalatout: Andrej Milosevic
73'
73'
🔁Luka Guticout: Djordje Radivojevic
74'
Daniel Aghahowa
🔁Uros Ljubomiracout: Milan Jokić
80'
🔁Dejan Paradinaout: Đorđe Jovanović
80'
87'
⚽Ismael Casasassist: François Kamano
87'
🔁nikola glisicout: Vladimir Radocaj

Match stats — Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd

33%Possession67%
4Shots22
2On target4
3Corners9
0.54xG1.53

Goals against chances

Zemun1 from 0.54 xGabout what the chances were worth
IMT Novi Beograd1 from 1.53 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zemun 3-5-2
  • 99M. DubljanićG
  • 15O. StoimenovskiD
  • 21I. OstojićD
  • 66V. BakićD
  • 25D. ParađinaM
  • 27U. LjubomiracM
  • 7Dimitrije TabakovicM
  • 8O. IlićM
  • 16M. SpremoM
  • 31N. KalatF
  • 10N. BelakovićF
Substitutes
  • 14N. DovedanF
  • 23M. JokićM
  • 1M. KneževićG
  • 6Zarko BogdanovicM
  • 11S. KnezevicF
  • 29A. MilosevicD
  • 75I. PesicF
  • 9N. PetrusicF
  • 45M. ŠarićF
Coach: Gjorgji Mojsov
IMT Novi Beograd 4-1-4-1
  • 1O. ČančarevićG
  • 45Ismael CasasD
  • 5M. SissakoD
  • 3Iván MartosD
  • 24Luka GuticD
  • 22Vasilije NovicicM
  • 29K. FabienM
  • 19T. CojicM
  • 18W. TiendrébéogoM
  • 7N. GlišićM
  • 99C. KeitaF
Substitutes
  • 65S. ŠapićD
  • 27V. RadočajM
  • 40F. KamanoF
  • 12Kadir GicicG
  • 2Julián DelmásD
  • 20D. RadivojevicF
  • 23D. AkrofiM
  • 37Daniel AghahowaF
Coach: Z. Popović

Form going into Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd

Zemun

Super Liga

  • L0-3away to FK Partizan1 November 2026
  • W1-0Macva23 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Cukaricki17 October 2026
  • L0-3Železničar Pančevo11 October 2026

IMT Novi Beograd

Super Liga

  • D0-0Cukaricki1 November 2026
  • L0-1Železničar Pančevo23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Novi Pazar18 October 2026
  • W1-0Radnik Surdulica10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Zemun failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Zemun failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Zemun conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for IMT Novi Beograd had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Zemun151410829-217
4IMT Novi Beograd156541610+623

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd

  • 25 July 2026IMT Novi Beograd 4–0 ZemunSuper Liga
  • 7 April 2021IMT Novi Beograd 2–0 ZemunPrva Liga
  • 2 October 2020Zemun 0–0 IMT Novi BeogradPrva Liga

Leading scorers: Zemun and IMT Novi Beograd

Zemun

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

IMT Novi Beograd

GoalsAssists

  • C. Keita32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Zemun and IMT Novi Beograd drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for IMT Novi Beograd at 51% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nemanja Kalat 51' for Zemun, Ismael Casas 87' for IMT Novi Beograd. Sent off: Dimitrije Tabakovic (Zemun) 67'. On expected goals it finished 0.54–1.53.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zemun a 98.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 95.9% after a win, 98.9% after a draw, 99.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 98.9%, 0.5 points higher than before the match.

For IMT Novi Beograd the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 79.2% going in: 85.0% after a win, 74.2% after a draw, 70.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 74.2%, 5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.