7 November 2026, 13:45 UTC

Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Tarczynski Arena
Referee: Bartosz Frankowski
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Piast Gliwice.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Slask Wroclaw, 25% draw, 41% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.94, 4.00 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Piast Gliwice at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slask Wroclaw4%Draw91%Piast Gliwice5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Przemyslaw Banaszak (pen)
9'
Przemyslaw Banaszak
38'
60'
🔁Andreas Katsantonisout: Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
60'
🔁Ivan Limaout: Szczepan·Mucha
61'
Ema Twumasi
🔁Karol Linettyout: Jorge Yriarte
61'
🔁Przemyslaw Banaszakout: Malaly Dembele
61'
🔁Lamine Baout: Mariusz Malec
73'
🔁Eniss Shabaniout: luka marjanac
73'
78'
Francisco Sierralta
Alex Timossi Andersson
81'
🔁Grzegorz Tomasiewiczout: Adam Ciućka
83'
85'
🔁Oskar·Lesniakout: Jakub Labojko
86'
🔁Leandro Mário Baldé Sancaout: Jorge Félix
87'
Quentin Boisgard
90+3'
🔁Hugo Vallejoout: Maciej Kucharski

Match stats — Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice

44%Possession56%
10Shots16
2On target2
4Corners6
1.87xG1.35

Goals against chances

Slask Wroclaw0 from 1.87 xGless than the chances were worth
Piast Gliwice0 from 1.35 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw 3-5-2
  • 1K. NiemczyckiG
  • 2D. SzalaD
  • 5L. BaD
  • 4M. DijakovicD
  • 21A. Timossi AnderssonM
  • 77E. ShabaniM
  • 17K. LinettyM
  • 20G. TomasiewiczM
  • 27Jan JurčecM
  • 7P. Samiec-TalarF
  • 19P. BanaszakF
Substitutes
  • 9Ieltsin CamõesF
  • 31H. SliczniakG
  • 25M. SzromnikG
  • 11L. MarjanacF
  • 44M. MalecD
  • 8Marc LlinaresD
  • 18K. BorysM
  • 15J. YriarteM
  • 88A. CiuckaM
Coach: T. Golem
Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
  • 75D. GrilG
  • 99E. TwumasiD
  • 5Juande RivasD
  • 22F. SierraltaD
  • 28F. BorowskiD
  • 90Ivan LimaM
  • 17Q. BoisgardM
  • 31O. LeśniakM
  • 80Hugo VallejoM
  • 11Leandro SancaF
  • 10A. KatsantonisF
Substitutes
  • 15L. PitanD
  • 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF
  • 77S. MuchaM
  • 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
  • 18O. MaziarzM
  • 27J. ŁabojkoM
  • 47J. GrelichG
  • 7Jorge FélixF
  • 91Maciej KucharskiF
Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Form going into Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice

Slask Wroclaw

Ekstraklasa

  • L1-3away to Radomiak Radom2 November 2026
  • W2-0Wieczysta Kraków25 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Motor Lublin17 October 2026
  • L1-4Lech Poznan10 October 2026

Piast Gliwice

Ekstraklasa

  • D2-2away to Wisla Plock31 October 2026
  • W3-1Cracovia Krakow24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Gornik Zabrze18 October 2026
  • W2-1Widzew Łódź11 October 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Slask Wroclaw142481725-810
7Piast Gliwice146442420+422

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice

  • 3 February 2025Slask Wroclaw 1–3 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 3 December 2024Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Piast GliwiceCup
  • 28 July 2024Piast Gliwice 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 30 March 2024Piast Gliwice 2–2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 23 September 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 6 April 2023Slask Wroclaw 0–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice

Slask Wroclaw

GoalsAssists

  • P. Banaszak50

Piast Gliwice

GoalsAssists

  • Hugo Vallejo51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Piast Gliwice at 41% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.87–1.35.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slask Wroclaw a 47.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 39.8% after a win, 50.8% after a draw, 54.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 50.8%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ekstraklasa season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.