Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Piast Gliwice.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Slask Wroclaw, 25% draw, 41% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.94, 4.00 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Piast Gliwice at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. NiemczyckiG
- 2D. SzalaD
- 5L. BaD
- 4M. DijakovicD
- 21A. Timossi AnderssonM
- 77E. ShabaniM
- 17K. LinettyM
- 20G. TomasiewiczM
- 27Jan JurčecM
- 7P. Samiec-TalarF
- 19P. BanaszakF
- 9Ieltsin CamõesF
- 31H. SliczniakG
- 25M. SzromnikG
- 11L. MarjanacF
- 44M. MalecD
- 8Marc LlinaresD
- 18K. BorysM
- 15J. YriarteM
- 88A. CiuckaM
- 75D. GrilG
- 99E. TwumasiD
- 5Juande RivasD
- 22F. SierraltaD
- 28F. BorowskiD
- 90Ivan LimaM
- 17Q. BoisgardM
- 31O. LeśniakM
- 80Hugo VallejoM
- 11Leandro SancaF
- 10A. KatsantonisF
- 15L. PitanD
- 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF
- 77S. MuchaM
- 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
- 18O. MaziarzM
- 27J. ŁabojkoM
- 47J. GrelichG
- 7Jorge FélixF
- 91Maciej KucharskiF
Form going into Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
Slask Wroclaw
Ekstraklasa
- L1-3away to Radomiak Radom2 November 2026
- W2-0Wieczysta Kraków25 October 2026
- L2-3away to Motor Lublin17 October 2026
- L1-4Lech Poznan10 October 2026
Piast Gliwice
Ekstraklasa
- D2-2away to Wisla Plock31 October 2026
- W3-1Cracovia Krakow24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Gornik Zabrze18 October 2026
- W2-1Widzew Łódź11 October 2026
What these results say
- Slask Wroclaw scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Piast Gliwice went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Piast Gliwice scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Piast Gliwice conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
- 3 February 2025Slask Wroclaw 1–3 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 3 December 2024Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Piast GliwiceCup
- 28 July 2024Piast Gliwice 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 30 March 2024Piast Gliwice 2–2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 23 September 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 6 April 2023Slask Wroclaw 0–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice
Slask Wroclaw
GoalsAssists
- P. Banaszak50
Piast Gliwice
GoalsAssists
- Hugo Vallejo51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Piast Gliwice at 41% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.87–1.35.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slask Wroclaw a 47.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 39.8% after a win, 50.8% after a draw, 54.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 50.8%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ekstraklasa season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.