17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Cukaricki vs Zemun Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion na Banovom brdu, Belgrade
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Cukaricki 3-0 Zemun.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Cukaricki, 24% draw, 19% Zemun — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cukaricki at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Marko Knezevic (OG)
16'
28'
Ognjen Ilic
32'
Gjorgi Mojsov
•Uros·Miladinovic
33'
36'
Mykhailo Meskhi
⚽karel mustmaa
45+1'
45'
🔁Ivan Ostojićout: Đorđe Jovanović
45'
🔁Ognjen Ilicout: Godswill Vadze
⚽Uros·Miladinovic
48'
50'
Milan Jokić
55'
🔁nemanja kalatout: Dimitrije Tabaković
60'
🔁Nikola Dovedanout: Andrej Milosevic
🔁karel mustmaaout: Andrej bajovic
63'
🔁Mateja Prokopijevicout: Veljko Radosavljevic
63'
🔁Lazar Markovićout: Remy Rees-Dottin
68'
🔁Đorđe Jovanovićout: Milan Pavkov
72'
🔁Uros·Miladinovicout: L Đorđević
72'
Andrej bajovic
73'
Remy Rees-Dottin
75'
80'
🔁Milan Jokićout: Đorđe Petrović

Match stats — Cukaricki vs Zemun

61%Possession39%
12Shots12
5On target3
4Corners2
2.06xG0.52

Goals against chances

Cukaricki3 from 2.06 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zemun0 from 0.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cukaricki 4-2-3-1
  • 81V. ČarapićG
  • 24N. StankovićD
  • 23I. MaigaD
  • 26M. ĐokovićD
  • 3Z. ŠehovićD
  • 14S. SissokoM
  • 87Mateja ProkopijevićM
  • 18Karel MustmaaM
  • 10U. MiladinovićM
  • 8L. MarkovićM
  • 99Đ. JovanovićF
Substitutes
  • 77A. BajovićM
  • 20A. CisseM
  • 73N. MiletićD
  • 27A. NanqueF
  • 1Đ. NikolićG
  • 50M. PavkovF
  • 86Veljko RadosavljevićM
  • 51Remy Rees-DottinF
  • 4N. TomovićD
Coach: M. S. Jakšić
Zemun 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. KneževićG
  • 11S. KnezevicD
  • 15O. StoimenovskiD
  • 21I. OstojićD
  • 88A. KadijevićD
  • 8O. IlićM
  • 32M. MeskhiM
  • 31N. KalatM
  • 23M. JokićM
  • 14N. DovedanM
  • 10N. BelakovićF
Substitutes
  • 29A. MilosevicD
  • 27U. LjubomiracM
  • 45M. ŠarićF
  • 16M. SpremoD
  • 99M. DubljanićG
  • 19G. VadzeF
  • 66V. BakićD
  • 5Đ. JovanovićD
  • 20D. PetrovicM
Coach: Gjorgji Mojsov

Form going into Cukaricki vs Zemun

Cukaricki

Super Liga

  • D2-2Macva10 October 2026

Zemun

Super Liga

  • L0-3Železničar Pančevo11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Cukaricki156452121022
14Zemun151410829-217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Zemun

  • 10 November 2018Zemun 0–3 CukarickiSuper Liga
  • 21 July 2018Cukaricki 1–1 ZemunSuper Liga
  • 4 December 2017Cukaricki 4–1 ZemunSuper Liga
  • 13 August 2017Zemun 2–0 CukarickiSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Cukaricki and Zemun

Cukaricki

GoalsAssists

  • U. Miladinović63

Zemun

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cukaricki beat Zemun 3–0. The model had made a win for Cukaricki its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Marko Knezevic (own goal) 16' for Cukaricki, karel mustmaa 45+1' for Cukaricki, Uros·Miladinovic 48' for Cukaricki. On expected goals it finished 2.06–0.52.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cukaricki a 17.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 12.7% after a win, 22.4% after a draw, 28.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.7%, 5.1 points lower than before the match.

For Zemun the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 97.5% going in: 95.0% after a win, 97.2% after a draw, 98.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.7%, 1.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Cukaricki v Zemun has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 57% / 24% / 19%: the biggest move is Cukaricki's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Cukaricki win57%▲ +9
  2. Draw24%▼ −4
  3. Zemun win19%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.