17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Skalica vs AS Trencin Super Liga prediction & result

Skalica
Referee: M. Smolak
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Skalica 0-2 AS Trencin.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Skalica, 27% draw, 25% AS Trencin — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Skalica at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Skalica0%Draw1%AS Trencin99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽L. Mikulaj (pen)
13'
⚽Eynel Soares
46'
🔁Eynel Soaresout: D. Kam
R. Potocny
50'
🔁S. Sulaout: L. Simko
63'
🔁R. Potocnyout: E. Eshele
63'
🔁M. Masikout: A. Ravas
64'
A. Morong
64'
75'
🔁P. Gonzalezout: F. Slovak
75'
🔁J. Paurout: C. Ansah
81'
🔁L. Mikulajout: F. Kasana
86'
🔁H. Pavekout: N. Jovanovic
🔁D. Barisout: O. Podhorin
86'
88'
R. Sanusi

Line-ups

Skalica
  • 39M. Junas
  • 13S. Sula
  • 6P. Karhan
  • 26P. Guinari
  • 3M. Cernek
  • 9A. Morong
  • 27D. Baris
  • 23E. Daniel
  • 19M. Masik
  • 30A. Abdullahi
  • 91R. Potocny
Substitutes
  • 1R. Ludha
  • 20O. Podhorin
  • 8L. Simko
  • 5M. Ryzek
  • 4M. Macorig
  • 21A. Ravas
  • 14M. Gulisek
  • 11A. Krizan
  • 34E. Eshele
Coach: Stanislav Macek
AS Trencin
  • 1A. Katic
  • 90H. Pavek
  • 33R. Krizan
  • 29L. Bessile
  • 25L. Skovajsa
  • 93P. Gonzalez
  • 8T. Hajovsky
  • 14R. Sanusi
  • 77J. Paur
  • 7Eynel Soares
  • 21L. Mikulaj
Substitutes
  • 30M. Slavicek
  • 13J. Mulder
  • 2N. Jovanovic
  • 95P. Diouf
  • 16C. Ansah
  • 22D. Jepihhin
  • 5F. Kasana
  • 10D. Kam
  • 27F. Slovak
Coach: Marek Danovsky

Form going into Skalica vs AS Trencin

Skalica

Super Liga

  • D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026

AS Trencin

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Dukla Banská Bystrica10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Skalica142481528-1310
12AS Trencin142481430-1610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Skalica vs AS Trencin

  • 19 April 2026Skalica 4–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
  • 15 March 2026AS Trencin 2–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
  • 28 February 2026Skalica 0–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
  • 18 October 2025AS Trencin 1–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
  • 17 May 2025AS Trencin 2–0 SkalicaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Skalica and AS Trencin

Skalica

GoalsAssists

  • Philip Onyedika31

AS Trencin

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

AS Trencin won 2–0 at Skalica. The model had leaned towards a win for Skalica at 48% and given a win for AS Trencin 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Mikulaj (penalty) 9' for AS Trencin, Eynel Soares 13' for AS Trencin.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Skalica a 34.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 24.9% after a win, 39.2% after a draw, 48.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 48.7%, 14.5 points higher than before the match.

For AS Trencin the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 77.4% going in: 63.7% after a win, 78.3% after a draw, 84.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 63.7%, 13.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Skalica v AS Trencin has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Skalica's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Skalica win48%▲ +6
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. AS Trencin win25%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.