17 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava Super Liga prediction & result

City Arena Trnava, Trnava
Referee: M. Ocenas
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Spartak Trnava 0-3 Slovan Bratislava.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Spartak Trnava, 28% draw, 31% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Spartak Trnava at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Spartak Trnava0%Draw1%Slovan Bratislava99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
⚽R. Ibrahimassist: S. Camara
34'
⚽A. Grigerassist: T. Barseghyan
🔁F. Trelloout: D. Bukovsky
58'
🔁P. Azangoout: L. Mehmeti
58'
🔁L. Holikout: L. Fabis
58'
59'
P. Pokorny
75'
🔁A. Gajdosout: A. Mustafic
75'
🔁A. Grigerout: M. Kianga
75'
🔁T. Barseghyanout: N. Marcelli
E. Sabo
77'
G. Moistsrapishvili
78'
🔁G. Moistsrapishviliout: T. Wildeboer
80'
D. Bukovsky
80'
80'
⚽R. Ibrahimassist: A. Mustafic
82'
🔁R. Ibrahimout: D. Matsuoka
82'
🔁S. Camaraout: A. Maros
🔁M. Ujlakyout: P. Nwadike
88'
89'
K. Bajric

Line-ups

Spartak Trnava
  • 72M. Vantruba
  • 4L. Holik
  • 52E. Sabo
  • 13M. Ujlaky
  • 3J. Carrion
  • 8G. Moistsrapishvili
  • 91M. Lausic
  • 11P. Azango
  • 30L. Khorkheli
  • 20F. Trello
  • 19T. Kudlicka
Substitutes
  • 1B. Szaraz
  • 21L. Fabis
  • 2P. Nwadike
  • 25I. Mensah
  • 6R. Prochazka
  • 5R. Begala
  • 22D. Bukovsky
  • 14T. Wildeboer
  • 17L. Mehmeti
Coach: Antonio Munoz
Slovan Bratislava
  • 71D. Takac
  • 28C. Blackman
  • 12K. Bajric
  • 15S. Markovic
  • 57S. Cruz
  • 3P. Pokorny
  • 11T. Barseghyan
  • 5R. Ibrahim
  • 8A. Gajdos
  • 21S. Camara
  • 30A. Griger
Substitutes
  • 1A. Popovic
  • 6K. Wimmer
  • 70C. Martinez
  • 20A. Mustafic
  • 88D. Matsuoka
  • 29A. Maros
  • 14A. Yirajang
  • 10N. Marcelli
  • 19M. Kianga
Coach: Yaya Toure

Form going into Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava

Spartak Trnava

Super Liga

  • W3-1away to Podbrezová11 October 2026

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3VfB Stuttgart14 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Skalica10 October 2026
  • L1-6away to Paris Saint Germain9 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Celje26 August 2026
  • D1-1Celje19 August 2026

What these results say

  • Slovan Bratislava conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Slovan Bratislava failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slovan Bratislava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Spartak Trnava147432818+1025
2Slovan Bratislava148423215+1728

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava

  • 26 April 2026Spartak Trnava 0–1 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 11 April 2026Slovan Bratislava 2–2 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
  • 28 February 2026Slovan Bratislava 4–0 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
  • 18 February 2026Spartak Trnava 1–1 Slovan BratislavaCup
  • 18 October 2025Spartak Trnava 0–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Spartak Trnava and Slovan Bratislava

Spartak Trnava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Kudlička31

Slovan Bratislava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Barseghyan42
  • Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
  • Manasse Kianga22

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovan Bratislava won 3–0 at Spartak Trnava. The model had leaned towards a win for Spartak Trnava at 41% and given a win for Slovan Bratislava 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: R. Ibrahim 19' for Slovan Bratislava, A. Griger 34' for Slovan Bratislava, R. Ibrahim 80' for Slovan Bratislava.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Spartak Trnava a 12.3% chance to finish top of the regular season: 16.5% after a win, 9.0% after a draw, 7.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.0%, 5.3 points lower than before the match.

For Slovan Bratislava the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 8.4% going in: 13.0% after a win, 8.3% after a draw, 4.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.0%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Spartak Trnava v Slovan Bratislava has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Spartak Trnava's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Spartak Trnava win41%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Slovan Bratislava win31%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.