Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Ratchaburi 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Ratchaburi, 24% draw, 45% Kashiwa Reysol — fair odds of 3.23, 4.17 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Kashiwa Reysol at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99K. PhatomakkakulG
- 27J. CurranD
- 3Tarek AggounD
- 44Pablo InsuaD
- 31S. van WermeskerkenD
- 8T. SuengchitthawonM
- 16Roque MesaM
- 92Njiva RakotoharimalalaM
- 6TanaM
- 21E. PanyaM
- 9Bruno MendesF
- 48S. AllardiceM
- 1N. LakhonphonG
- 28T. LimwanasathianM
- 20Sanchai NontasilaD
- 42S. PanthongM
- 88C. PoomkaewM
- 15A. PromrakD
- 22P. SangkasophaM
- 5D. TingD
- 29K. NagaiG
- 32Y. YamanouchiD
- 4T. KogaD
- 2H. MitsumaruD
- 24T. KuboM
- 21Y. KonishiM
- 40R. HarakawaM
- 44K. YubaM
- 15S. FujioM
- 87H. YamauchiF
- 16K. YurukiF
- 9M. HosoyaF
- 13T. InukaiD
- 33S. IwanagaM
- 18Y. KakitaF
- 43Y. KamoM
- 63Yushin KanekoG
- 8Y. KoizumiM
- 39N. NakagawaM
- 26D. SugiokaD
Form going into Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol
Ratchaburi
AFC Champions League Elite
- L0-1away to Kyoto Sanga13 October 2026
- L4-6SHANGHAI SIPG15 September 2026
Kashiwa Reysol
AFC Champions League Elite
- W5-1Port FC14 October 2026
- L1-2away to Jeonbuk Motors16 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ratchaburi and Kashiwa Reysol
Ratchaburi
GoalsAssists
- Martin Njiva Rakotoharimalala31
Kashiwa Reysol
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ratchaburi and Kashiwa Reysol drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Kashiwa Reysol at 45% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.14–1.51.