9 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

DC United vs Columbus Crew Major League Soccer prediction & result

Audi Field, Washington
Full time2 – 1

Final score: DC United 2-1 Columbus Crew.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% DC United, 28% draw, 32% Columbus Crew — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

DC United at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

DC United96%Draw4%Columbus Crew0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
T. Karumanchi
19'
C. Ruvalcaba
Peglow
19'
⚽T. Bariboassist: L. Munteanu
24'
⚽T. Bariboassist: K. Nono
38'
46'
🔁T. Habrouneout: B. Mendez
46'
🔁C. Ruvalcabaout: S. Moreira
🔁J. Hopkinsout: M. Peltola
46'
49'
⚽S. Rodriguezassist: J. Martinez
K. Rowles
57'
60'
🔁J. Martinezout: G. Tapia
70'
🔁D. Chambostout: A. Gomes
🔁L. Munteanuout: N. Ordaz
70'
🔁T. Bariboout: B. Servania
77'
81'
🔁S. Rodriguezout: J. Thiare
🔁Peglowout: S. Nealis
90+2'
S. Johnson
90+5'

Match stats — DC United vs Columbus Crew

28%Possession72%
10Shots16
5On target4
3Corners5

Line-ups

DC United 4-3-3
  • 1S. JohnsonG
  • 5S. HeftiD
  • 3L. BartlettD
  • 15K. RowlesD
  • 6K. KurokawaD
  • 2K. NonoM
  • 21A. DozzellM
  • 7PeglowM
  • 25J. HopkinsF
  • 9T. BariboF
  • 11L. MunteanuF
Substitutes
  • 26A. BonoG
  • 13S. NealisD
  • 27N. MarkovicD
  • 77H. KijimaM
  • 23B. ServaniaM
  • 4M. PeltolaD
  • 8J. StroudM
  • 22N. OrdazF
  • 32O. AvilezF
Coach: Rene Weiler
Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1
  • 28P. SchulteG
  • 12C. RuvalcabaD
  • 25S. ZawadzkiD
  • 18M. AmundsenD
  • 23M. FarsiM
  • 7D. ChambostM
  • 50T. KarumanchiM
  • 11B. LennonM
  • 16T. HabrouneF
  • 8S. RodriguezF
  • 77J. MartinezF
Substitutes
  • 1N. HagenG
  • 54L. PruterG
  • 3E. BaillyD
  • 31S. MoreiraD
  • 10B. MendezM
  • 20A. GomesM
  • 26L. GiacconeM
  • 19J. ThiareF
  • 33G. TapiaF
Coach: Laurent Courtois

Form going into DC United vs Columbus Crew

DC United

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Los Angeles FC29 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charlotte22 August 2026
  • L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
  • D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026

Columbus Crew

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Colorado Rapids5 September 2026
  • L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Nashville SC23 August 2026
  • L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026

What these results say

  • DC United did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • DC United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Columbus Crew scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Columbus Crew had three goals or more.
  • Columbus Crew failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14DC United34712153961-2233
7Columbus Crew34145155952+747

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: DC United vs Columbus Crew

  • 19 July 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 29 March 2025DC United 1–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 28 September 2024DC United 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 6 April 2024Columbus Crew 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 8 April 2023DC United 0–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: DC United and Columbus Crew

DC United

GoalsAssists

  • T. Baribo161

Columbus Crew

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 59 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

DC United beat Columbus Crew 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for DC United at 40%. The goals: T. Baribo 24' for DC United, T. Baribo 38' for DC United, S. Rodriguez 49' for Columbus Crew.

How the call on DC United v Columbus Crew has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 40% / 28% / 32%: the biggest move is DC United's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. DC United win40%▼ −2
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Columbus Crew win32%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.