9 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

DC United vs Columbus Crew Major League Soccer prediction & result

Audi Field, Washington
Full time2 – 1

Final score: DC United 2-1 Columbus Crew.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% DC United, 28% draw, 32% Columbus Crew — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts DC United at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

DC United96%Draw4%Columbus Crew0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
T. Karumanchi
19'
C. Ruvalcaba
Peglow
19'
⚽T. Bariboassist: L. Munteanu
24'
⚽T. Bariboassist: K. Nono
38'
46'
🔁T. Habrouneout: B. Mendez
46'
🔁C. Ruvalcabaout: S. Moreira
🔁J. Hopkinsout: M. Peltola
46'
49'
⚽S. Rodriguezassist: J. Martinez
K. Rowles
57'
60'
🔁J. Martinezout: G. Tapia
70'
🔁D. Chambostout: A. Gomes
🔁L. Munteanuout: N. Ordaz
70'
🔁T. Bariboout: B. Servania
77'
81'
🔁S. Rodriguezout: J. Thiare
🔁Peglowout: S. Nealis
90+2'
S. Johnson
90+5'

Match stats — DC United vs Columbus Crew

28%Possession72%
10Shots16
5On target4
3Corners5

Line-ups

DC United 4-3-3
  • 1S. JohnsonG
  • 5S. HeftiD
  • 3L. BartlettD
  • 15K. RowlesD
  • 6K. KurokawaD
  • 2K. NonoM
  • 21A. DozzellM
  • 7PeglowM
  • 25J. HopkinsF
  • 9T. BariboF
  • 11L. MunteanuF
Substitutes
  • 26A. BonoG
  • 13S. NealisD
  • 27N. MarkovicD
  • 77H. KijimaM
  • 23B. ServaniaM
  • 4M. PeltolaD
  • 8J. StroudM
  • 22N. OrdazF
  • 32O. AvilezF
Coach: Rene Weiler
Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1
  • 28P. SchulteG
  • 12C. RuvalcabaD
  • 25S. ZawadzkiD
  • 18M. AmundsenD
  • 23M. FarsiM
  • 7D. ChambostM
  • 50T. KarumanchiM
  • 11B. LennonM
  • 16T. HabrouneF
  • 8S. RodriguezF
  • 77J. MartinezF
Substitutes
  • 1N. HagenG
  • 54L. PruterG
  • 3E. BaillyD
  • 31S. MoreiraD
  • 10B. MendezM
  • 20A. GomesM
  • 26L. GiacconeM
  • 19J. ThiareF
  • 33G. TapiaF
Coach: Laurent Courtois

Form going into DC United vs Columbus Crew

DC United

  • D0-0Los Angeles FC29 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charlotte22 August 2026
  • L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
  • D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026

Columbus Crew

  • W3-0Colorado Rapids5 September 2026
  • L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Nashville SC23 August 2026
  • L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: DC United vs Columbus Crew

  • 9 September 2026DC United 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 19 July 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 29 March 2025DC United 1–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 28 September 2024DC United 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 6 April 2024Columbus Crew 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 8 April 2023DC United 0–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: DC United and Columbus Crew

DC United

  • T. Baribo14 goals

Columbus Crew

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.