9 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

BMO Field, Toronto
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Toronto FC, 30% draw, 30% Nashville SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Toronto FC at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽Niklas Dorsch (OG)
🔁Benjamin Kuscevicout: Nickseon Gomis
59'
🔁Lewis Morganout: Theo Corbeanu
59'
🔁Jackson Gilmanout: Matheus Pereira de Souza
59'
66'
🔁Elias Saadout: Ahmed Qasim
🔁Niklas Dorschout: Markus Cimermancic
70'
⚽Dániel Sallóiassist: Theo Corbeanu
72'
74'
🔁Edvard Sandvik Tagsethout: Patrick Yazbek
74'
🔁Daniel Lovitzout: Andy Najar
🔁Josh Sargentout: Emilio Aristizábal
75'
87'
🔁Cristian Espinozaout: Shakur Mohammed
⚽Emilio Aristizábalassist: Dániel Sallói
90+3'
Luka Gavran
90+7'

Match stats — Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

42%Possession58%
16Shots11
7On target5
3Corners8

Line-ups

Toronto FC 4-4-2
  • 1L. GavranG
  • 38J. GilmanD
  • 25W. ZimmermanD
  • 13B. KuscevicD
  • 22R. LaryeaD
  • 11D. EtienneM
  • 14A. CoelloM
  • 6N. DorschM
  • 90L. MorganM
  • 20D. SalloiF
  • 9J. SargentF
Substitutes
  • 23W. YarbroughG
  • 19K. FranklinD
  • 44R. EdwardsD
  • 15N. GomisD
  • 3Matheus PereiraD
  • 12Z. MonlouisD
  • 71M. CimermancicM
  • 7T. CorbeanuF
  • 17E. AristizabalF
Coach: Robin Fraser
Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
  • 99B. SchwakeG
  • 27R. Baker-WhitingD
  • 5J. MaherD
  • 3M. WoledziD
  • 2D. LovitzD
  • 16M. CorcoranM
  • 20E. TagsethM
  • 7C. EspinozaM
  • 10H. MukhtarM
  • 11E. SaadM
  • 9S. SurridgeF
Substitutes
  • 1J. WillisG
  • 31A. NajarD
  • 22J. BauerD
  • 4J. PalaciosD
  • 6B. AcostaM
  • 8P. YazbekM
  • 37A. QasemF
  • 14S. MohammedM
  • 19A. MuylM
Coach: Brian Callaghan

Form going into Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

Toronto FC

  • D4-4Chicago Fire5 September 2026
  • D1-1New York City FC29 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Inter Miami22 August 2026
  • D3-3Charlotte19 August 2026
  • W2-1New England Revolution15 August 2026

Nashville SC

  • D0-0away to New York City FC4 September 2026
  • W4-0FC Cincinnati30 August 2026
  • W3-2Columbus Crew23 August 2026
  • W1-0away to New York Red Bulls19 August 2026
  • W4-1Inter Miami16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

  • 9 September 2026Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 20 July 2025Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 24 May 2025Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 19 June 2024Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 16 May 2024Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Toronto FC and Nashville SC

Toronto FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Nashville SC

  • S. Surridge15 goals
  • H. Mukhtar10 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.