9 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

BMO Field, Toronto
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Toronto FC, 30% draw, 30% Nashville SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Toronto FC at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽Niklas Dorsch (OG)
🔁Benjamin Kuscevicout: Nickseon Gomis
59'
🔁Lewis Morganout: Theo Corbeanu
59'
🔁Jackson Gilmanout: Matheus Pereira de Souza
59'
66'
🔁Elias Saadout: Ahmed Qasim
🔁Niklas Dorschout: Markus Cimermancic
70'
⚽Dániel Sallóiassist: Theo Corbeanu
72'
74'
🔁Edvard Sandvik Tagsethout: Patrick Yazbek
74'
🔁Daniel Lovitzout: Andy Najar
🔁Josh Sargentout: Emilio Aristizábal
75'
87'
🔁Cristian Espinozaout: Shakur Mohammed
⚽Emilio Aristizábalassist: Dániel Sallói
90+3'
Luka Gavran
90+7'

Match stats — Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

42%Possession58%
16Shots11
7On target5
3Corners8

Line-ups

Toronto FC 4-4-2
  • 1L. GavranG
  • 38J. GilmanD
  • 25W. ZimmermanD
  • 13B. KuscevicD
  • 22R. LaryeaD
  • 11D. EtienneM
  • 14A. CoelloM
  • 6N. DorschM
  • 90L. MorganM
  • 20D. SalloiF
  • 9J. SargentF
Substitutes
  • 23W. YarbroughG
  • 19K. FranklinD
  • 44R. EdwardsD
  • 15N. GomisD
  • 3Matheus PereiraD
  • 12Z. MonlouisD
  • 71M. CimermancicM
  • 7T. CorbeanuF
  • 17E. AristizabalF
Coach: Robin Fraser
Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
  • 99B. SchwakeG
  • 27R. Baker-WhitingD
  • 5J. MaherD
  • 3M. WoledziD
  • 2D. LovitzD
  • 16M. CorcoranM
  • 20E. TagsethM
  • 7C. EspinozaM
  • 10H. MukhtarM
  • 11E. SaadM
  • 9S. SurridgeF
Substitutes
  • 1J. WillisG
  • 31A. NajarD
  • 22J. BauerD
  • 4J. PalaciosD
  • 6B. AcostaM
  • 8P. YazbekM
  • 37A. QasemF
  • 14S. MohammedM
  • 19A. MuylM
Coach: Brian Callaghan

Form going into Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

Toronto FC

All competitions we cover

  • D4-4Chicago Fire5 September 2026
  • D1-1New York City FC29 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Inter Miami22 August 2026
  • D3-3Charlotte19 August 2026
  • W2-1New England Revolution15 August 2026

Nashville SC

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to New York City FC4 September 2026
  • W4-0FC Cincinnati30 August 2026
  • W3-2Columbus Crew23 August 2026
  • W1-0away to New York Red Bulls19 August 2026
  • W4-1Inter Miami16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Toronto FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Toronto FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Toronto FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Nashville SC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Nashville SC won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Nashville SC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Toronto FC34912135267-1539
1Nashville SC3423837125+4677

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

  • 20 July 2025Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 24 May 2025Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 19 June 2024Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 16 May 2024Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Toronto FC and Nashville SC

Toronto FC

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 52 league goals as a side.

Nashville SC

GoalsAssists

  • S. Surridge211
  • H. Mukhtar167

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Toronto FC beat Nashville SC 2–1. The model had made a win for Toronto FC its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Niklas Dorsch (own goal) 3' for Nashville SC, Dániel Sallói 72' for Toronto FC, Emilio Aristizábal 90+3' for Toronto FC.

How the call on Toronto FC v Nashville SC has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 31% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Toronto FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Toronto FC win40%▲ +2
  2. Draw30%▼ −1
  3. Nashville SC win30%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.