Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Atlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Atlanta United FC, 30% draw, 32% Orlando City SC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Atlanta United FC at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC
Line-ups
- 1L. HoyosG
- 55T. JacobD
- 27P. DiazD
- 6J. AlonsoD
- 3E. BaezD
- 14M. AmaroM
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 35A. FortuneM
- 59A. MiranchukF
- 36B. EmboloF
- 10M. AlmironF
- 42J. HibbertG
- 47M. EdwardsD
- 4E. MihajD
- 28W. ReillyM
- 16A. GillM
- 20L. BrennanM
- 22F. PicaultF
- 30C. TogashiF
- 19Sergio SantosF
- 71M. CrepeauG
- 24G. DorseyD
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 44B. RheinD
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 35J. GerbetM
- 77I. AnguloM
- 22J. EllisF
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 10M. OjedaF
- 12J. OteroG
- 57Iago TeodoroD
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 5Luis OtavioM
- 87M. PasalicF
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 14T. SpicerF
Form going into Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Inter Miami5 September 2026
- L0-2Charlotte29 August 2026
- W2-1Sporting Kansas City23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Minnesota United FC20 August 2026
- W2-1New York Red Bulls15 August 2026
Orlando City SC
All competitions we cover
- W1-0San Diego5 September 2026
- D3-3away to Minnesota United FC30 August 2026
- W2-1Real Salt Lake22 August 2026
- L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026
- D1-1FC Cincinnati15 August 2026
What these results say
- Atlanta United FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Atlanta United FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Atlanta United FC had three goals or more.
- Orlando City SC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Orlando City SC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Orlando City SC.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC
- 19 May 2026Orlando City SC 4–1 Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
- 16 May 2026Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- 28 May 2025Atlanta United FC 3–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 26 April 2025Orlando City SC 3–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 43 league goals as a side.
Orlando City SC
GoalsAssists
- M. Ojeda164
- A. Griezmann147
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orlando City SC won 3–2 at Atlanta United FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Atlanta United FC at 38% and given a win for Orlando City SC 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: David Brekalo (own goal) 7' for Atlanta United FC, Antoine Griezmann 26' for Orlando City SC, Iván Angulo 58' for Orlando City SC, Antoine Griezmann 77' for Orlando City SC, Tyrese Spicer (own goal) 90+7' for Atlanta United FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.