9 September 2026, 23:45 UTC

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer prediction & result

Subaru Park, Philadelphia
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Philadelphia Union, 25% draw, 25% FC Cincinnati — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Philadelphia Union at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Philadelphia Union99%Draw1%FC Cincinnati0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
O. Nwobodo
40'
Evander
⚽Q. Sullivan (pen)
43'
⚽B. Damianiassist: C. Sullivan
45+2'
46'
🔁Evanderout: A. Powell
46'
🔁K. Denkeyout: T. Barlow
46'
🔁E. Echeniqueout: N. Hagglund
⚽B. Damianiassist: Q. Sullivan
49'
⚽B. Damianiassist: C. Sullivan
61'
62'
🔁G. Valenzuelaout: T. Anunga
🔁E. Alladohout: M. Iloski
66'
🔁J. Lukicout: J. Bueno
66'
🔁Q. Sullivanout: I. Vassilev
66'
•B. Damiani
72'
🔁B. Damianiout: M. Jakupovic
75'
🔁C. Sullivanout: A. Bedoya
75'
75'
🔁A. Jabbariout: S. Gidi
81'
•P. Bucha
87'
T. Anunga
⚽M. Iloski (pen)
89'

Match stats — Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati

66%Possession34%
20Shots1
6On target0
7Corners1

Line-ups

Philadelphia Union 4-2-2-2
  • 18A. BlakeG
  • 39F. WestfieldD
  • 44N. PierreD
  • 26N. HarrielD
  • 27K. WagnerD
  • 21D. Jean JacquesM
  • 4J. LukicM
  • 6C. SullivanM
  • 33Q. SullivanM
  • 9B. DamianiF
  • 23E. AlladohF
Substitutes
  • 76A. RickG
  • 5J. Sery LarsenD
  • 11A. BedoyaM
  • 8J. BuenoM
  • 16B. BenderM
  • 19I. VassilevM
  • 10M. IloskiF
  • 28A. AnelloF
  • 51M. JakupovicF
Coach: Ryan Richter
FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
  • 18R. CelentanoG
  • 24K. SmithD
  • 12M. RobinsonD
  • 88A. ChirilaD
  • 20P. BuchaM
  • 22G. ValenzuelaM
  • 5O. NwobodoM
  • 66E. EcheniqueM
  • 10EvanderF
  • 99A. JabbariF
  • 9K. DenkeyF
Substitutes
  • 13E. LouroG
  • 4N. HagglundD
  • 15T. HadebeD
  • 2A. PowellD
  • 27T. AnungaM
  • 11S. GidiM
  • 29B. J. Ramirez LeonD
  • 17K. MbomaF
  • 16T. BarlowF
Coach: Pat Noonan

Form going into Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0CF Montreal5 September 2026
  • W3-1away to New York Red Bulls29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Austin23 August 2026
  • D2-2Inter Miami19 August 2026
  • W3-2away to New York City FC16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati

All competitions we cover

  • L0-4away to Nashville SC30 August 2026
  • D1-1Seattle Sounders22 August 2026
  • W2-1New York City FC19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orlando City SC15 August 2026
  • W4-2San Jose Earthquakes1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Philadelphia Union went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Philadelphia Union scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Philadelphia Union conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Cincinnati conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Cincinnati scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for FC Cincinnati.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Philadelphia Union34148126652+1450
9FC Cincinnati341210126775-846

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati

  • 30 August 2025FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
  • 2 March 2025Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 7 February 2025FC Cincinnati 4–1 Philadelphia UnionFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 October 2024Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 13 August 2024FC Cincinnati 2–4 Philadelphia UnionLeagues Cup

Leading scorers: Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union

GoalsAssists

  • M. Iloski192

FC Cincinnati

GoalsAssists

  • K. Denkey173

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Philadelphia Union beat FC Cincinnati 5–0. The model had made a win for Philadelphia Union its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Q. Sullivan (penalty) 43' for Philadelphia Union, B. Damiani 45+2' for Philadelphia Union, B. Damiani 49' for Philadelphia Union, B. Damiani 61' for Philadelphia Union, M. Iloski (penalty) 89' for Philadelphia Union. Sent off: O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) 16'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.