2 November 2026, 21:00 UTC

Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
Referee: Cristian Galaz Sepulveda
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Deportes Limache 2-0 Audax Italiano.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Deportes Limache, 27% draw, 25% Audax Italiano — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Deportes Limache at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Deportes Limache97%Draw3%Audax Italiano0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Augusto Ezequiel Aguirreassist: Javier Rojas
15'
66'
🔁Oliver Rojasout: Vicente Zenteno
🔁Jean Menesesout: Carlos Jeremy Morales Gatica
73'
🔁Leonardo Valenciaout: Axel Jonatan Alfonzo Villarreal
73'
🔁Misael Llanténout: Tiago Hernández Galletto
73'
73'
🔁Federico Mateosout: Diego Coelho
76'
Martín Vicente Jiménez Salinas
81'
🔁Martín Vicente Jiménez Salinasout: Ariel Uribe
85'
Nicolás Orellana
•Gonzalo Sosa
90+4'
🔁Daniel Castroout: Vicente Álvarez
90+6'
🔁Gonzalo Sosaout: Marcos Arturia
90+6'
90+6'
Diego Monreal
⚽Marcos Arturia (pen)
90+9'

Match stats — Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano

44%Possession56%
10Shots22
4On target11
4Corners8
1.82xG1.67

Goals against chances

Deportes Limache2 from 1.82 xGabout what the chances were worth
Audax Italiano0 from 1.67 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Deportes Limache 4-2-3-1
  • 23CésarG
  • 33D. EscobarD
  • 2A. AguirreD
  • 24A. ParotD
  • 11Javier RojasD
  • 6C. FuentesM
  • 25M. LlanténM
  • 19D. CastroM
  • 10L. ValenciaM
  • 16J. MenesesM
  • 9G. SosaF
Substitutes
  • 5A. AlfonzoD
  • 26M. ArturiaF
  • 27T. GallettoM
  • 17C. GonzálezG
  • 14H. MartínezM
  • 7C. MoralesD
  • 15V. ÁlvarezF
Coach: V. Rivero
Audax Italiano 4-4-2
  • 1T. AhumadaG
  • 16O. RojasD
  • 29M. OrtizD
  • 14D. MonrealD
  • 3F. SalomoniD
  • 20M. JiménezM
  • 28F. MateosM
  • 8M. CollaoM
  • 21G. ChiaveranoM
  • 24N. OrellanaF
  • 11F. TroyanskyF
Substitutes
  • 18N. AedoM
  • 9D. CoelhoF
  • 25P. GarridoG
  • 42Martín Alonso Huamán CerecedaD
  • 38T. LeytonM
  • 17F. LoyolaM
  • 6M. SandovalM
  • 30A. UribeM
  • 2V. ZentenoM
Coach: P. Graff

Form going into Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano

Deportes Limache

Primera División

  • W1-0away to Universidad de Concepcion25 October 2026
  • D2-2Palestino11 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Union La Calera14 September 2026

Audax Italiano

Primera División

  • D1-1away to Universidad Catolica28 October 2026
  • D1-1Huachipato23 October 2026
  • W1-0O'Higgins13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Chile Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Deportes Limache27124114840+840
13Audax Italiano2779112836-830

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano

  • 25 April 2026Audax Italiano 2–2 Deportes LimachePrimera División
  • 11 August 2025Deportes Limache 4–0 Audax ItalianoPrimera División
  • 8 March 2025Audax Italiano 3–1 Deportes LimachePrimera División

Leading scorers: Deportes Limache and Audax Italiano

Deportes Limache

GoalsAssists

  • D. Castro147
  • G. Sosa80

Audax Italiano

No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Deportes Limache beat Audax Italiano 2–0. The model had made a win for Deportes Limache its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Augusto Ezequiel Aguirre 15' for Deportes Limache, Marcos Arturia (penalty) 90+9' for Deportes Limache. On expected goals it finished 1.82–1.67.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Deportes Limache a 21.0% chance to finish in the top four: 29.4% after a win, 13.7% after a draw, 7.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 29.4%, 8.4 points higher than before the match.

For Audax Italiano the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three: 2.0% after a win, 7.0% after a draw, 13.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 13.0%.

Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.