16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla La Liga prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Riazor
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Sevilla.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Deportivo La Coruna, 28% draw, 35% Sevilla — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Deportivo La Coruna at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Deportivo La Coruna0%Draw3%Sevilla97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Bil Nsongoout: Adama Traoré
45'
52'
⚽Miguel Sierra
🔁Riki Rodríguezout: Mario Soriano
57'
🔁Yeremay Hernándezout: Jonathan Asp Jensen
57'
•Angeliño
58'
Angeliño
59'
🔁Luismi Cruzout: Giacomo Quagliata
61'
65'
Kike Salas
76'
🔁Lucas Stassinout: Isaac Romero
Lorenzo Amatucci
77'
79'
Jon Guridi
81'
🔁Jon Guridiout: Giorgi Kochorashvili
81'
🔁Felix Correiaout: Julio Diaz
🔁José María Giménezout: Zakaria Eddahchouri
83'
90+1'
🔁Miguel Sierraout: Robbie Ure
90+4'
Isaac Romero
90+6'
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez

Match stats — Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

53%Possession47%
4Shots11
3On target6
4Corners4

Line-ups

Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
  • 13Leo RománG
  • 2Adrià AltiD
  • 20J. GiménezD
  • 15Miguel LoureiroD
  • 17AngeliñoD
  • 19Luismi CruzM
  • 16L. AmatucciM
  • 14Riki RodríguezM
  • 10PekeM
  • 32B. NsongoF
  • 7P. AubameyangF
Substitutes
  • 8Diego VillaresM
  • 6Marc CasadóM
  • 9Z. EddahchouriF
  • 22B. EdeD
  • 25Álvaro FernándezG
  • 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
  • 11David MellaF
  • 23Ximo NavarroD
  • 4L. NoubiD
Coach: Antonio Hidalgo
Sevilla 4-2-3-1
  • 1O. VlachodimosG
  • 2Juan IglesiasD
  • 5Andrés CastrínD
  • 4Kike SalasD
  • 17G. SuazoD
  • 6L. AgouméM
  • 24Y. FofanaM
  • 30M. SierraM
  • 18Jon GuridiM
  • 20Félix CorreiaM
  • 19L. StassinF
Substitutes
  • 22José Ángel CarmonaD
  • 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
  • 21C. EjukeF
  • 10Peque FernándezF
  • 7Alfon GonzálezF
  • 13Fran GonzálezG
  • 8G. KochorashviliM
  • 34Iker Ortín MuñozD
  • 16IsaacF
Coach: Luis García

Form going into Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

Deportivo La Coruna

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Getafe13 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Villarreal5 September 2026
  • W3-1Valencia30 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026
  • D1-1Elche17 August 2026

Sevilla

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Valencia11 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Espanyol6 September 2026
  • L1-3Atletico Madrid29 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Athletic Club22 August 2026
  • W2-1Rayo Vallecano15 August 2026

What these results say

  • Deportivo La Coruna went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Deportivo La Coruna scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Deportivo La Coruna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Sevilla scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Sevilla conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Sevilla.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Deportivo La Coruna123631514+115
6Sevilla125341719-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

  • 17 April 2018Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 SevillaLa Liga
  • 2 December 2017Sevilla 2–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 8 April 2017Sevilla 4–2 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 19 November 2016Deportivo La Coruna 2–3 SevillaLa Liga
  • 17 April 2016Sevilla 1–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga

The full Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla record →

Leading scorers: Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla

Deportivo La Coruna

GoalsAssists

  • P. Aubameyang52

Sevilla

No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sevilla won 1–0 at Deportivo La Coruna. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo La Coruna at 37% and given a win for Sevilla 35%. The goal: Miguel Sierra 52' for Sevilla. Sent off: Angeliño (Deportivo La Coruna) 59'.

How the call on Deportivo La Coruna v Sevilla has moved

First published on 2 Sep at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 37% / 28% / 35%: the biggest move is Deportivo La Coruna's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Deportivo La Coruna win37%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Sevilla win35%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.