6 November 2026, 19:00 UTC

Dijon vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction & result

Dijon
Referee: Gael Angoula
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Dijon 1-0 RED Star FC 93.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Dijon, 24% draw, 30% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dijon at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dijon95%Draw5%RED Star FC 930%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

57'
🔁Idrissa Sabalyout: Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
🔁Ange Lagoout: Yanis Barka
63'
🔁Paul Bellonout: Samy Chouchane
64'
69'
🔁Kémo Cisséout: Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
70'
🔁Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Butaout: Matthieu Huard
70'
🔁Damien Durandout: Godson Kyeremeh
71'
Godson Kyeremeh
⚽Yanis Barkaassist: Moussa Faty
72'
78'
🔁Samuel Renelout: Cheick Mory Konate
🔁Moussa Fatyout: Boubacar Diallo
79'
🔁Adel Lembezatout: Hugo Vargas Ríos
84'
🔁Jordan Mariéout: Ylan Aka
84'

Match stats — Dijon vs RED Star FC 93

60%Possession40%
15Shots7
3On target0
4Corners2
1.25xG0.33

Goals against chances

Dijon1 from 1.25 xGabout what the chances were worth
RED Star FC 930 from 0.33 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Dijon 4-1-3-2
  • 16P. DelecroixG
  • 93I. BouleghchaD
  • 6W. DioufD
  • 23L. LacroixD
  • 31M. FatyD
  • 14J. MariéM
  • 8P. BellonM
  • 17A. LembezatM
  • 18B. NdeziM
  • 11Júlio TavaresF
  • 90A. LagoF
Substitutes
  • 42Y. AkaD
  • 10Y. BarkaF
  • 5Q. BernardD
  • 21Samy ChouchaneM
  • 75Boubacar DialloD
  • 9T. DongF
  • 71Enzo KetterleG
  • 29A. NtamackF
  • 20H. Vargas-RíosM
Coach: B. Ridira
RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
  • 16G. PoussinG
  • 2T. MagninD
  • 20D. DurivauxD
  • 6B. DangerD
  • 25Leonardo ButaD
  • 19I. HalifaM
  • 17S. RenelM
  • 11K. CisséM
  • 21Idrissa SabalyM
  • 7D. DurandM
  • 91K. CabralF
Substitutes
  • 45Cheick KonateM
  • 10S. KhaouiM
  • 23J. Ikanga A NgeleF
  • 3M. HuardD
  • 12Sekou GuindoD
  • 9I. DespotovicF
  • 80C. Bianay BalcotD
  • 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
  • 27G. KyeremehF
Coach: D. Perrinelle

Form going into Dijon vs RED Star FC 93

Dijon

Ligue 2

  • W3-1away to Grenoble30 October 2026
  • L1-2Rodez24 October 2026
  • L2-4away to Reims16 October 2026
  • W4-2Metz12 October 2026

RED Star FC 93

Ligue 2

  • L1-4Nancy2 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Montpellier26 October 2026
  • L0-1Saint Etienne17 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Clermont Foot10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Dijon scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dijon conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Dijon had three goals or more.
  • RED Star FC 93 conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • RED Star FC 93 failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • RED Star FC 93 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Dijon125342119+218
8RED Star FC 93125251417-317

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dijon vs RED Star FC 93

  • 19 April 2024RED Star FC 93 0–2 DijonLigue 3
  • 24 November 2023Dijon 3–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3
  • 6 May 2016RED Star FC 93 3–2 DijonLigue 2
  • 18 December 2015Dijon 0–0 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2

Leading scorers: Dijon and RED Star FC 93

Dijon

GoalsAssists

  • Júlio Tavares51
  • Y. Barka40

RED Star FC 93

GoalsAssists

  • D. Durand50
  • J. Ikanga A Ngele42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dijon beat RED Star FC 93 1–0. The model had made a win for Dijon its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Yanis Barka 72' for Dijon. On expected goals it finished 1.25–0.33.

How the call on Dijon v RED Star FC 93 has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 42% / 25% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 46% / 24% / 30%: the biggest move is Dijon's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Dijon win46%▲ +4
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. RED Star FC 93 win30%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.