8 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Dila vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Dila 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Dila, 28% draw, 40% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Tbilisi at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dila0%Draw1%Dinamo Tbilisi99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

araujo joao
16'
29'
⚽Algassime Bah
35'
Maxime teixeira
🔁Nelson Mike Puketiout: Mamin Sanyang
46'
🔁lasha menteshashviliout: Lynden Edhart
46'
52'
⚽Mate Vatsadzeassist: Marios Pourzitidis
🔁Ramaric Etouout: Georgiy Kobakhidze
64'
🔁Aviel Zargariout: Otar Parulava
64'
64'
🔁Mate Vatsadzeout: Khalid doltmurziev
72'
🔁Barnes Oseiout: Lyes Houri
72'
🔁Maxime teixeiraout: tornike kvaratskhelia
🔁Shota Shekiladzeout: Kristaps Grabovskis
76'
80'
🔁Algassime Bahout: koba kakashvili
80'
🔁Marios Pourzitidisout: Aleksandre Kalandadze
90+1'
Lyes Houri

Match stats — Dila vs Dinamo Tbilisi

46%Possession54%
6Shots17
0On target9
0Corners5

Line-ups

Dila 3-4-1-2
  • 12L. SanikidzeG
  • 33R. EtouD
  • 13João AraújoD
  • 5Nelson Mike PuketiD
  • 2T. KikabidzeD
  • 17B. AnoffM
  • 8L. MenteshashviliM
  • 14G. JalaghoniaD
  • 7Aviel Zargari
  • 22Shota ShekiladzeF
  • 9K. KefingF
Substitutes
  • 11K. GrabovskisF
  • 15G. KobakhidzeM
  • 16M. SanyangF
  • 10O. ParulavaM
  • 21Z. MuselianiF
  • 31Mate MakrakhidzeG
  • 25L. YarbroughD
  • 37L. EdhartF
  • 19B. GogoberishviliM
Coach: A. Vavalis
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-2-3-1
  • 20Lucas FloresG
  • 17P. PsaltisD
  • 27N. KurdićD
  • 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
  • 13M. PourzitídisD
  • 8WeltonM
  • 24B. OseiM
  • 12A. BahF
  • 22N. NinuaM
  • 14M. Do CoutoF
  • 11M. VatsadzeF
Substitutes
  • 3A. KalandadzeD
  • 33L. HouriM
  • 26G. GoguaM
  • 34M. GbomaduF
  • 7K. DoltmurzievF
  • 18T. KvaratskheliaF
  • 42Saba TartarashviliG
  • 39K. KakashviliM
Coach: T. Ketsbaia

Form going into Dila vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Dila

Erovnuli Liga

  • L1-2away to Torpedo Kutaisi2 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Meshakhte24 October 2026
  • L0-2FC Iberia 199919 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Rustavi10 October 2026

Dinamo Tbilisi

Erovnuli Liga

  • D0-0FC Iberia 199931 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Rustavi23 October 2026
  • W3-1Spaeri18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Dinamo Batumi11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Dila did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Dila conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dila scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Dinamo Tbilisi had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Dila32124164141040
3Dinamo Tbilisi32161065232+2058

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dila vs Dinamo Tbilisi

  • 31 August 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 1 July 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 0–0 DilaSuper Cup
  • 20 May 2026Dila 0–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
  • 3 April 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 1–2 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 6 December 2025Dila 2–2 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
  • 3 October 2025Dinamo Tbilisi 2–0 DilaErovnuli Liga

Leading scorers: Dila and Dinamo Tbilisi

Dila

No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 41 league goals as a side.

Dinamo Tbilisi

GoalsAssists

  • Rodrigo Silva Ramos22

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Tbilisi won 2–0 at Dila. The model had made a win for Dinamo Tbilisi its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Algassime Bah 29' for Dinamo Tbilisi, Mate Vatsadze 52' for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Tbilisi a 29.9% chance to finish top of the regular season: 45.2% after a win, 25.2% after a draw, 13.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.2%, 15.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.