24 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Batumi Arena, Batumi
Referee: B. Bregadze
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Dinamo Batumi 3-0 Samgurali.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Dinamo Batumi, 23% draw, 24% Samgurali — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Batumi at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Batumi99%Draw1%Samgurali0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Paulo Vítorassist: Dmitri Mandricenco
23'
46'
🔁rodrigues geanout: nika manjgaladze
🔁A. Eshetiyeout: Imran Omar Oulad
62'
🔁Dmitri Mandricencoout: Maurides Roque Junior
62'
🔁Luka Lakvekhelianiout: Nika Kalandarishvili
62'
⚽Maurides Roque Junior
65'
🔁Uerdi Maraout: guram japaridze
68'
72'
🔁niko tsetskhladzeout: David krasovsky
72'
🔁Cebolinha claudioout: Irakli Siradze
72'
🔁Mate shatirishviliout: zaza iashvili
⚽Levan Shengelia
74'
🔁Sandro Altunashviliout: Enes Mahmutovic
77'
80'
🔁Omar patarkatsishviliout: Tamaz Goletiani

Match stats — Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali

68%Possession32%
19Shots13
6On target5
5Corners3

Line-ups

Dinamo Batumi 4-2-3-1
  • 13N. KalichavaG
  • 29I. TuritsovD
  • 23M. KobakhidzeD
  • 24D. CarlsonD
  • 12L. LakvekhelianiD
  • 10U. MaraM
  • 8S. AltunashviliM
  • 11Paulo VitorF
  • 27L. ShengeliaF
  • 16A. EshetiyeM
  • 7D. MandrîcencoM
Substitutes
  • 9MauridesF
  • 6A. MylchenkoM
  • 18I. Oulad OmarM
  • 35R. ChiteishviliD
  • 39G. JaparidzeM
  • 19N. KalandarishviliD
  • 22T. KirkitadzeF
  • 1L. KupatadzeG
  • 15E. MahmutovićD
Coach: Giorgi Chiabrishvili
Samgurali 4-4-2
  • 21A. SiukaevG
  • 13L. GegetchkoriD
  • 4O. PatarkatsishviliD
  • 25M. ShatirishviliD
  • 27L. ShergelashviliD
  • 9T. GaprindashviliF
  • 39RyanD
  • 22G. GogiaD
  • 17N. TsetskhladzeF
  • 28Cláudio CebolinhaF
  • 15Gean CarlosF
Substitutes
  • 11D. KrasovskiF
  • 12A. KasradzeG
  • 26Z. IashviliM
  • 14T. GoletianiM
  • 8I. BidzinashviliM
  • 29nika manjgaladzeD
  • 19I. SiradzeF
Coach: G. Oniani

Form going into Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali

Dinamo Batumi

Erovnuli Liga

  • W3-1away to Gagra17 October 2026
  • W1-0Dinamo Tbilisi11 October 2026

Samgurali

Erovnuli Liga

  • W2-0Meshakhte17 October 2026
  • W3-0Gagra11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi3217875640+1659
7Samgurali32116154357-1439

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali

  • 16 August 2026Samgurali 0–4 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
  • 10 May 2026Dinamo Batumi 3–1 SamguraliErovnuli Liga
  • 12 March 2026Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
  • 30 November 2025Samgurali 4–0 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
  • 28 September 2025Dinamo Batumi 1–2 SamguraliErovnuli Liga
  • 25 May 2025Samgurali 3–0 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga

The result against the call

Dinamo Batumi beat Samgurali 3–0. The model had made a win for Dinamo Batumi its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Paulo Vítor 23' for Dinamo Batumi, Maurides Roque Junior 65' for Dinamo Batumi, Levan Shengelia 74' for Dinamo Batumi.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Batumi a 30.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 39.1% after a win, 21.5% after a draw, 16.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.1%, 8.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.