19 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Dila vs FC Iberia 1999 Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Dila 0-2 FC Iberia 1999.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Dila, 28% draw, 32% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dila at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dila0%Draw1%FC Iberia 199999%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Bakar Kardava
33'
Nikoloz Dadiani
42'
⚽Amiran Dzaganiaassist: giorgi kobuladze
Mouhamed Diouf
45'
51'
⚽Lucas Oliveira Brune
🔁Nelson Mike Puketiout: Aviel Zargari
53'
🔁Mouhamed Dioufout: Giorgi Jalaghonia
64'
🔁Otar Parulavaout: Lynden Edhart
64'
🔁Mohamed Kantéout: badri gogoberishvili
64'
Lynden Edhart
71'
75'
🔁Lucas Oliveira Bruneout: Zviad Natchkebia
75'
🔁Nikoloz Dadianiout: Giorgi Kutsia
🔁araujo joaoout: Ramaric Etou
75'
80'
🔁Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolavaout: Giorgi Beridze
80'
🔁nika sikharulashviliout: Andria Bartishvili
Shota Shekiladze
84'
86'
🔁Bakar Kardavaout: Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
Blankson Anoff
90+1'
90+3'

Match stats — Dila vs FC Iberia 1999

41%Possession59%
4Shots7
2On target3
3Corners6

Line-ups

Dila 3-4-1-2
  • 12L. SanikidzeG
  • 2T. KikabidzeD
  • 13João AraújoD
  • 5Nelson Mike PuketiD
  • 16M. SanyangF
  • 17B. AnoffM
  • 8L. MenteshashviliM
  • 24Mouhamed DioufD
  • 10O. ParulavaM
  • 22Shota ShekiladzeF
  • 9K. KefingF
Substitutes
  • 25L. YarbroughD
  • 7Aviel Zargari
  • 37L. EdhartF
  • 33R. EtouD
  • 19B. GogoberishviliM
  • 14G. JalaghoniaD
  • 15G. KobakhidzeM
  • 31Mate MakrakhidzeG
  • 29A. OlatunjiD
Coach: A. Vavalis
FC Iberia 1999 4-2-1-3
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 4V. SelimovićD
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 18Lucas BruneM
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
  • 33marc jean tiboueD
Substitutes
  • 11A. BartishviliM
  • 26G. BeridzeF
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
  • 3P. CancarD
  • 17S. EndeF
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 10Z. NatchkebiaF
  • 14I. AlhassanM
Coach: A. Demchenko

Form going into Dila vs FC Iberia 1999

Dila

Erovnuli Liga

  • L1-3away to Rustavi10 October 2026

FC Iberia 1999

Erovnuli Liga

  • W2-1away to Meshakhte10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Dila32124164141040
2FC Iberia 19993218594633+1359

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dila vs FC Iberia 1999

  • 17 September 2026FC Iberia 1999 2–1 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 6 May 2026Dila 0–1 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 6 March 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–0 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 10 December 2025FC Iberia 1999 1–3 DilaDavid Kipiani Cup
  • 26 October 2025FC Iberia 1999 2–1 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 17 August 2025Dila 0–6 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 won 2–0 at Dila. The model had leaned towards a win for Dila at 40% and given a win for FC Iberia 1999 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Amiran Dzagania 42' for FC Iberia 1999, Lucas Oliveira Brune 51' for FC Iberia 1999.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dila a 16.9% chance to finish in the top four: 26.4% after a win, 11.6% after a draw, 5.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 5.6%, 11.3 points lower than before the match.

For FC Iberia 1999 the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 90.2% going in: 98.4% after a win, 94.5% after a draw, 83.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.4%, 8.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dila v FC Iberia 1999 has moved

First published on 5 Oct at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 40% / 28% / 32%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.

  1. Dila win40%▲ +1
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. FC Iberia 1999 win32%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.