16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest
Referee: Rares George Vidican
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Dinamo Bucuresti 2-0 FC Botosani.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Dinamo Bucuresti, 25% draw, 17% FC Botosani — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Bucuresti at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Bucuresti98%Draw2%FC Botosani0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
Pape Djibril Diaw
Martin Pascual
28'
60'
🔁Sebastian Mailatout: Ştefan Bodişteanu
Nikita Stoyanov
64'
🔁D. Zandbergenout: Oliver Hintsa
71'
74'
🔁Enriko Papaout: Charles Petro
76'
Marius Croitoru
77'
Andrei Dumiter
⚽Daniel Armstrong (pen)
81'
🔁Martin Pascualout: imran fetai
82'
🔁Daniel Armstrongout: Diogo Pinto
82'
Catalin Cirjan
83'
85'
🔁Andrei Dumiterout: Mykola Kovtalyuk
85'
🔁Roland Idowuout: Zoran Mitrov
85'
🔁Lucas de Vega Limaout: Gabriel Gama
86'
Zoran Mitrov
90+1'
Pape Djibril Diaw
⚽Catalin Cirjan (pen)
90+2'
🔁David Mario Irimiaout: Darío Benavides
90+4'
🔁Mamoudou Karamokoout: Ianis Târbă
90+4'

Match stats — Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani

56%Possession44%
24Shots7
7On target2
7Corners4
4.4xG0.28

Goals against chances

Dinamo Bucuresti2 from 4.40 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Botosani0 from 0.28 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2
  • 36A. BellaarouchG
  • 20D. IrimiaD
  • 44Martín PascualD
  • 15N. StoioanovD
  • 31R. OpruțD
  • 77D. ArmstrongM
  • 29Alberto SoroM
  • 90A. MărgineanM
  • 10C. CîrjanM
  • 97D. ZandbergenF
  • 9M. KaramokoF
Substitutes
  • 8Diogo PintoM
  • 30M. DuțuD
  • 18O. HintsaF
  • 5Imran FetaiD
  • 26A. MaziluF
  • 21Cristian Petrișor MihaiM
  • 66S. OprișM
  • 19R. RaduD
  • 73A. RoșcaG
Coach: Nuno Campos
FC Botosani 4-3-3
  • 99G. AnestisG
  • 2B. BayeyeD
  • 4A. MironD
  • 23D. DiawD
  • 73N. IlașD
  • 26H. OngendaM
  • 67E. PapaM
  • 21Lucas de VegaM
  • 8R. IdowuF
  • 41A. DumiterF
  • 7S. MailatF
Substitutes
  • 94M. DiarraD
  • 37M. BordeianuM
  • 10Ș. BodișteanuM
  • 77Gama GabrielM
  • 27Ionuț Cristian GurăuG
  • 22M. KovtalyukF
  • 9J. MarkovićF
  • 11Z. MitrovM
  • 3C. PetroD
Coach: M. Croitoru

Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani

Dinamo Bucuresti

Liga I

  • W2-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe9 October 2026

FC Botosani

Liga I

  • W2-0Uta Arad10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Dinamo Bucuresti1510323211+2133
12FC Botosani153661920-115

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani

  • 24 November 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 21 July 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 7 February 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 27 September 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 2–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 23 April 2024FC Botosani 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and FC Botosani

Dinamo Bucuresti

GoalsAssists

  • D. Armstrong610
  • Martín Pascual50
  • Alberto Soro44

FC Botosani

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dumiter70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Bucuresti beat FC Botosani 2–0. The model had made a win for Dinamo Bucuresti its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Daniel Armstrong (penalty) 81' for Dinamo Bucuresti, Catalin Cirjan (penalty) 90+2' for Dinamo Bucuresti. Sent off: Pape Djibril Diaw (FC Botosani) 90+1'. On expected goals it finished 4.40–0.28.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Bucuresti a 44.0% chance to finish top of the regular season: 47.5% after a win, 38.5% after a draw, 32.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.5%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

For FC Botosani the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 6.4% going in: 12.4% after a win, 6.0% after a draw, 4.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.7%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dinamo Bucuresti v FC Botosani has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 53% / 27% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 58% / 25% / 17%: the biggest move is Dinamo Bucuresti's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Dinamo Bucuresti win58%▲ +5
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. FC Botosani win17%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.