17 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara Liga I prediction & result

Giulesti Stadium, Bucharest
Referee: Szabolcs Kovacs
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Rapid 2-0 Corvinul Hunedoara.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Rapid, 27% draw, 20% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rapid99%Draw1%Corvinul Hunedoara0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
Emmanuel Yeboah
•Mohammed·Kamara
35'
45'
🔁Florin Ilieout: Mihajlo Ivančević
49'
antonio manolache
⚽Alexandru Dobre (pen)
61'
66'
🔁Emmanuel Yeboahout: Mario·Bratu
66'
🔁antonio manolacheout: Mohammad Abualnadi
🔁Mohammed·Kamaraout: Claudiu Petrila
72'
🔁Filip Stojiljkovićout: Timotej·Jambor
72'
⚽Alexandru Dobreassist: Razvan Onea
76'
🔁Alexandru Dobreout: Vladan Bubanja
77'
81'
🔁Sérgio Ribeiroout: Constantin Dragos Albu
81'
🔁Ion Cararusout: Roger Rodrigues
85'
Flavius iacob
🔁Olimpiu Moruțanout: Rares Pop
86'
🔁Constantin Grameniout: Sheriff Sinyan
86'
Vladan Bubanja
87'
Latif Ouedraogo
90'

Match stats — Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara

46%Possession54%
9Shots14
4On target2
0Corners4
1.36xG0.83

Goals against chances

Rapid2 from 1.36 xGmore than the chances were worth
Corvinul Hunedoara0 from 0.83 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rapid 4-2-3-1
  • 99B. UngureanuG
  • 19R. OneaD
  • 5A. PașcanuD
  • 6L. KramerD
  • 66W. L. OuedraogoD
  • 44C. B. DoumbiaM
  • 8C. GrameniM
  • 29A. DobreM
  • 80O. MoruțanM
  • 7M. KamaraM
  • 9F. StojilkovićF
Substitutes
  • 16M. AioaniG
  • 27E. AnnanD
  • 22V. BubanjaM
  • 13D. CiobotariuD
  • 23C. ManeaD
  • 10C. PetrilaM
  • 55R. PopM
  • 17S. SenciucD
  • 18S. SinyanD
Coach: D. Pancu
Corvinul Hunedoara 4-2-3-1
  • 21C. SanduG
  • 13F. IacobD
  • 18F. IlieD
  • 30A. ManolacheD
  • 10A. NeacșaD
  • 20Sérgio RibeiroM
  • 23I. CărărușM
  • 99E. YeboahM
  • 22A. FábryM
  • 19N. PîrvulescuM
  • 32A. GillardF
Substitutes
  • 29E. OkoroF
  • 9R. EspinosaF
  • 70R. DeaconuM
  • 41M. BratuF
  • 8Constantin Dragoș AlbuM
  • 15M. IvančevićD
  • 11Roger JunioM
  • 47G. Uche GoodladM
  • 5M. AbualnadiD
Coach: F. Maxim

Form going into Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara

Rapid

Liga I

  • W4-3away to Universitatea Cluj12 October 2026

Corvinul Hunedoara

Liga I

  • W3-2FC Voluntari9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Rapid159422414+1031
7Corvinul Hunedoara156451716+122

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Rapid and Corvinul Hunedoara

Rapid

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dobre60
  • F. Stojilković41

Corvinul Hunedoara

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid beat Corvinul Hunedoara 2–0. The model had made a win for Rapid its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Alexandru Dobre (penalty) 61' for Rapid, Alexandru Dobre 76' for Rapid. On expected goals it finished 1.36–0.83.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Rapid a 16.0% chance to finish top of the regular season: 18.4% after a win, 13.3% after a draw, 10.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.4%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.

For Corvinul Hunedoara the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 10.2% going in: 14.2% after a win, 11.2% after a draw, 8.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.0%, 2.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Rapid v Corvinul Hunedoara has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 45% / 31% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 27% / 20%: the biggest move is Rapid's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Rapid win53%▲ +8
  2. Draw27%▼ −4
  3. Corvinul Hunedoara win20%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.