Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Bucuresti 2-1 FCSB.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Dinamo Bucuresti, 25% draw, 24% FCSB — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Bucuresti at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 36A. BellaarouchG
- 20D. IrimiaD
- 44M. PascualD
- 15N. StoinovD
- 31R. OprutD
- 77D. ArmstrongM
- 29A. SoroM
- 90I. MargineanM
- 10C. CirjanM
- 7A. MusiF
- 9M. KaramokoF
- 73A. RoscaG
- 5I. FetaiD
- 30M. Dutu
- 66S. OprisM
- 19R. RaduD
- 6M. VerrethM
- 8D. PintoM
- 18O. HintsaF
- 97D. ZandbergenF
- 32S. TarnovanuG
- 2V. CretuD
- 5J. DawaD
- 3A. DuarteD
- 4R. PadurariuD
- 9M. KorenicaM
- 18Joao PauloM
- 11D. MiculescuM
- 28A. BoutoutaouM
- 31J. CisottiM
- 14A. GaritaF
- 34M. UdreaG
- 13M. PopaG
- 33R. RadunovicD
- 97R. LabonneD
- 8E. GnahoreM
- 15O. AradD
- 22M. TomaM
- 77L. StancuM
- 98D. PopaF
Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
- W2-1Universitatea Cluj22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Rapid15 August 2026
- W4-0FC Voluntari8 August 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul31 July 2026
FCSB
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Uta Arad30 August 2026
- L0-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj23 August 2026
- W3-2FC Botosani17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe10 August 2026
- D2-2Farul Constanta3 August 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FCSB failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 33 |
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
- 29 May 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 6 December 2025FCSB 0–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 2 August 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 4–3 FCSBLiga I
- 5 May 2025FCSB 3–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 30 March 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 FCSBLiga I
Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
GoalsAssists
- D. Armstrong610
- Martín Pascual50
- Alberto Soro44
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Bucuresti beat FCSB 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Dinamo Bucuresti at 51%. The goals: M. Pascual 36' for Dinamo Bucuresti, M. Pascual 78' for Dinamo Bucuresti, D. Miculescu 84' for FCSB. Sent off: André Duarte (FCSB) 31', Cătălin Cîrjan (Dinamo Bucuresti) 90+1'. On expected goals it finished 3.26–0.68.
How the call on Dinamo Bucuresti v FCSB has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 49% / 26% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 51% / 25% / 24%: the biggest move is Dinamo Bucuresti's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Dinamo Bucuresti win51%▲ +2
- Draw25%▼ −1
- FCSB win24%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.