Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Bucuresti 2-1 FCSB.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Dinamo Bucuresti, 25% draw, 24% FCSB — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Bucuresti at 51% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 36A. BellaarouchG
- 20D. IrimiaD
- 44M. PascualD
- 15N. StoinovD
- 31R. OprutD
- 77D. ArmstrongM
- 29A. SoroM
- 90I. MargineanM
- 10C. CirjanM
- 7A. MusiF
- 9M. KaramokoF
- 73A. RoscaG
- 5I. FetaiD
- 30M. Dutu
- 66S. OprisM
- 19R. RaduD
- 6M. VerrethM
- 8D. PintoM
- 18O. HintsaF
- 97D. ZandbergenF
- 32S. TarnovanuG
- 2V. CretuD
- 5J. DawaD
- 3A. DuarteD
- 4R. PadurariuD
- 9M. KorenicaM
- 18Joao PauloM
- 11D. MiculescuM
- 28A. BoutoutaouM
- 31J. CisottiM
- 14A. GaritaF
- 34M. UdreaG
- 13M. PopaG
- 33R. RadunovicD
- 97R. LabonneD
- 8E. GnahoreM
- 15O. AradD
- 22M. TomaM
- 77L. StancuM
- 98D. PopaF
Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
- W2-1Universitatea Cluj22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Rapid15 August 2026
FCSB
- L1-3Uta Arad30 August 2026
- L0-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj23 August 2026
- W3-2FC Botosani17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | FCSB | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
- 5 September 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 2–1 FCSBLiga I
- 29 May 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 FCSBLiga I
- 6 December 2025FCSB 0–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 2 August 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 4–3 FCSBLiga I
- 5 May 2025FCSB 3–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 30 March 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–2 FCSBLiga I
Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and FCSB
Dinamo Bucuresti
- D. Armstrong4 goals7 assists
- Alberto Soro3 goals2 assists
- Martín Pascual3 goals
FCSB
- D. Bîrligea3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.