5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

West Brom vs Watford Championship prediction & result

The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Full time1 – 0

Final score: West Brom 1-0 Watford.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% West Brom, 28% draw, 29% Watford — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

West Brom at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

West Brom96%Draw4%Watford0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
Martin Payero
J. Morgan
34'
⚽J. Morganassist: Harry Whitwell
36'
Ousmane·Diakite
42'
45'
🔁Jordan Zemuraout: Edo Kayembe
59'
🔁Albert Eamesout: Soumaula Coulibaly
63'
Edo Kayembe
67'
🔁Othmane Maammaout: Stephy Mavididi
67'
🔁Martin Payeroout: Amin Nabizada
🔁Rabby Nzingoulaout: Jayson Molumby
73'
🔁Aune Heggeboout: Felix Horn Myhre
73'
🔁Chris Mephamout: Nathaniel Phillips
81'
🔁J. Morganout: Barney Stewart
82'
82'
🔁Luca Kjerrumgaardout: Mamadou Doumbia
Nathaniel Phillips
88'
Harry Whitwell
89'
Isaac Price
90+5'
90+5'
Iker Bravo

Match stats — West Brom vs Watford

52%Possession48%
9Shots11
4On target2
5Corners4

Line-ups

West Brom 4-4-2
  • 1M. O’LearyG
  • 25N. GalvesD
  • 2C. MephamD
  • 6G. CampbellD
  • 4C. StylesD
  • 29Harry WhitwellM
  • 20R. NzingoulaM
  • 17O. DiakitéM
  • 21I. PriceM
  • 19A. HeggebøF
  • 11J. MorganF
Substitutes
  • 15Tobias Christopher CollyerM
  • 13M. IngramG
  • 8J. MolumbyM
  • 7F. MyhreM
  • 18B. PereiraD
  • 3N. PhillipsD
  • 9B. StewartF
  • 22C. TownsendD
  • 26K. TundeF
Coach: J. Morrison
Watford 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. RavagliaG
  • 56Albert EamesD
  • 6M. PollockD
  • 4K. KebenD
  • 33J. ZemuraD
  • 8E. BoveM
  • 5H. KyprianouM
  • 17Iker BravoM
  • 22M. PayeroM
  • 7O. MaammaM
  • 9L. KjerrumgaardF
Substitutes
  • 24S. WalkerG
  • 11R. VataF
  • 21Amin NabizadaF
  • 45S. MavididiF
  • 39E. KayembeM
  • 20M. DoumbiaF
  • 3S. CoulibalyD
  • 26D. BachmannG
  • 53James Andrew ClarridgeD
Coach: A. Dionisi

Form going into West Brom vs Watford

West Brom

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Charlton2 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Middlesbrough29 August 2026
  • W3-1Burnley23 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Norwich15 August 2026

Watford

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Swansea1 September 2026
  • D1-1West Ham29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Wrexham22 August 2026
  • W2-1Southampton16 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5West Brom158432315+828
20Watford154381323-1015

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: West Brom vs Watford

  • 21 April 2026West Brom 3–0 WatfordChampionship
  • 22 October 2025Watford 2–1 West BromChampionship
  • 12 April 2025West Brom 2–1 WatfordChampionship
  • 15 December 2024Watford 2–1 West BromChampionship
  • 1 April 2024West Brom 2–2 WatfordChampionship

The full West Brom vs Watford record →

Leading scorers: West Brom and Watford

West Brom

GoalsAssists

  • I. Price63
  • J. Morgan54

Watford

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

West Brom beat Watford 1–0. The model had made a win for West Brom its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: J. Morgan 36' for West Brom.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.