1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool League One prediction & result

Hillsborough, Sheffield
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Blackpool.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Sheffield Wednesday, 25% draw, 22% Blackpool — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sheffield Wednesday at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sheffield Wednesday4%Draw92%Blackpool4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Davis Keillor-Dunn
25'
Mason Burstow
38'
Sil swinkels
40'
45'
🔁Andy Lyonsout: Josh Bowler
67'
🔁Hayden Coulsonout: Jerry Yates
68'
🔁Tom Bloxhamout: Dion Charles
68'
🔁Zachary Ashworthout: Ilmari Niskanen
68'
🔁Leighton Clarksonout: Finley Munroe
79'
Ilmari Niskanen
🔁Davis Keillor-Dunnout: Ricardo Almeida Santos
81'
81'
⚽Jerry Yatesassist: Albie Morgan
82'
Jordan Williams
Barry Bannan
84'
84'
Josh Bowler
84'
Ian Ross Evatt
🔁Mason Burstowout: Kieran Morrison
89'
🔁Max Loweout: Harry Gray
89'
Harry Gray
90+4'

Match stats — Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool

48%Possession52%
17Shots18
5On target4
10Corners9
0.71xG1.22

Goals against chances

Sheffield Wednesday1 from 0.71 xGabout what the chances were worth
Blackpool1 from 1.22 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sheffield Wednesday 3-4-2-1
  • 13A. Maynard-BrewerG
  • 2L. PalmerD
  • 30Ernie WeaverD
  • 26S. SwinkelsD
  • 7Y. ValeryM
  • 18Jaden HeskeyM
  • 10B. BannanM
  • 3M. LoweM
  • 8C. SlatteryM
  • 50D. Keillor-DunnM
  • 48Mason Paul James BurstowF
Substitutes
  • 14S. FusireM
  • 24H. GrayF
  • 23J. LiongolaM
  • 20K. MorrisonM
  • 22G. OtegbayoD
  • 4RicardoD
  • 27C. TruemanG
Coach: M. Hamshaw
Blackpool 5-3-2
  • 1B. Peacock-FarrellG
  • 28J. WilliamsD
  • 2A. LyonsD
  • 4O. CaseyD
  • 3Z. AshworthD
  • 15H. CoulsonD
  • 17Karoy AndersonM
  • 8A. MorganM
  • 7L. ClarksonM
  • 14T. BloxhamF
  • 18D. TaylorF
Substitutes
  • 11J. BowlerM
  • 6J. BrownM
  • 19D. CharlesF
  • 26Finley MunroeD
  • 21I. NiskanenM
  • 23L. SouthwoodG
  • 12J. YatesF
Coach: I. Evatt

Form going into Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool

Sheffield Wednesday

League One

  • D1-1Cambridge United27 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Doncaster24 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Notts County20 October 2026

Blackpool

League One

  • L1-4Mansfield Town24 October 2026
  • W2-0Milton Keynes Dons20 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Leyton Orient17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Sheffield Wednesday146532514+1123
20Blackpool133371722-512

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool

  • 17 September 2024Blackpool 0–1 Sheffield WednesdayLeague Cup
  • 7 March 2015Blackpool 0–1 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
  • 26 December 2014Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 BlackpoolChampionship
  • 1 January 2014Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 BlackpoolChampionship
  • 30 November 2013Blackpool 2–0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
  • 16 April 2013Blackpool 0–0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship

Leading scorers: Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool

Sheffield Wednesday

GoalsAssists

  • J. Lowe52

Blackpool

No player in League One's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Sheffield Wednesday at 53% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Davis Keillor-Dunn 25' for Sheffield Wednesday, Jerry Yates 81' for Blackpool. Sent off: Sil swinkels (Sheffield Wednesday) 40'. On expected goals it finished 0.71–1.22.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sheffield Wednesday a 8.4% chance to finish in the top two: 9.6% after a win, 6.4% after a draw, 5.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 6.4%, 2 points lower than before the match.

For Blackpool the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 24.4% going in: 17.8% after a win, 24.7% after a draw, 26.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 24.7%.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpool has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 25% / 22%: the biggest move is Sheffield Wednesday's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Sheffield Wednesday win53%▲ +6
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Blackpool win22%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.