Dinamo Minsk vs Neman Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Minsk 0-1 Neman.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Dinamo Minsk, 25% draw, 18% Neman — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Minsk at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Minsk vs Neman
Line-ups
- 47A. KudravetsG
- 44G. GurbanD
- 67R. BegunovD
- 26V. KalininD
- 24A. VakulichD
- 8A. SelyavaM
- 42F. AbdullahiM
- 30M. DjimetM
- 78A. SokolovskiyM
- 7E. MalashevichM
- 10K. VardanyanF
- 5D. DushevskiyM
- 17I. BakharF
- 80L. GwethF
- 12A. IvanovD
- 13V. PolozM
- 21D. RadkevichG
- 25A. TouréD
- 23A. ZhechkoM
- 11G. AlykulovM
- 16N. MatysyukG
- 55D. GirsD
- 14S. JimohD
- 4A. VasiljevD
- 32Y. PavlyukovetsD
- 10D. LisakovichM
- 47M. KozlovM
- 15O. EvdokimovM
- 9S. PushnyakovM
- 33D. SpătaruM
- 88P. SavitskiyF
- 19A. DaynekoM
- 22I. KirkoD
- 18M. KravtsovF
- 1A. MalievskiyG
- 6A. NazarenkoM
- 7A. RatkovićF
- 2V. TonkevichD
- 24A. YakimovM
- 52Maksim AleksandrovM
Form going into Dinamo Minsk vs Neman
Dinamo Minsk
Premier League
- W3-2away to Belshina28 October 2026
- W2-1away to FC Gomel24 October 2026
- W2-0Arsenal Dzerzhinsk19 October 2026
Neman
Premier League
- L1-4Dinamo Brest25 October 2026
- L0-1away to ML Vitebsk18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Bate Borisov14 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 23 | +28 | 61 |
| 5 | Neman | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 26 | +9 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Minsk vs Neman
- 21 June 2026Neman 1–3 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- 29 October 2025Neman 0–0 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- 18 June 2025Dinamo Minsk 0–1 NemanPremier League
- 1 March 2025Dinamo Minsk 0–2 NemanCoppa
- 22 February 2025Neman 0–2 Dinamo MinskSuper Cup
- 11 November 2024Neman 0–0 Dinamo MinskPremier League
The result against the call
Neman won 1–0 at Dinamo Minsk. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Minsk at 57% and given a win for Neman 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goal: vladislav kalinin (own goal) 13' for Neman.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Minsk a 49.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 61.2% after a win, 30.7% after a draw, 21.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.2%, 28.3 points lower than before the match.
For Neman the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 1.2% going in: 5.7% after a win, under 1% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 5.7%, 4.5 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Dinamo Minsk v Neman has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 52% / 27% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 57% / 25% / 18%: the biggest move is Dinamo Minsk's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Dinamo Minsk win57%▲ +5
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Neman win18%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.