Londrina vs America Mineiro Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Londrina 1-3 America Mineiro.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Londrina, 24% draw, 20% America Mineiro — fair odds of 1.79, 4.17 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Londrina at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Londrina vs America Mineiro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1LuanG
- 75Kauê LeonardoD
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 22ArturD
- 5TárikM
- 7Victor HugoM
- 38Geovane MeurerM
- 8Lucas MarquesM
- 28HerbertM
- 23William PottkerF
- 18Guilherme CachoeiraF
- 2Nino ParaíbaD
- 17João ConiF
- 77Guilherme DantasM
- 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaD
- 33KevynD
- 15Gabriel LacerdaD
- 21Cainã Santos Da SilvaM
- 91Bruno BrígidoG
- 4Rafael BarcelosD
- 45Ricardo SilvaD
- 2Emerson SantosD
- 25T. OstchegaD
- 88BarretoM
- 93J. JiménezM
- 20Paulo VictorM
- 77M. SegoviaM
- 7Guilherme ParedeM
- 9WillianF
- 99Marcelo MacolaF
- 8Felipe AmaralM
- 19WilliamG
- 37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento JulioM
- 27CássioG
- 30L. MontesD
- 80Pedro ParanhosF
- 21Eduardo PersonM
- 26ManoelD
Form going into Londrina vs America Mineiro
Londrina
Serie B
- L1-2away to CRB24 October 2026
- W1-0Cuiaba20 October 2026
America Mineiro
Serie B
- W1-0Cuiaba26 October 2026
- W1-0Operario-PR17 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Londrina vs America Mineiro
- 13 July 2026America Mineiro 1–1 LondrinaSerie B
- 8 November 2019Londrina 0–1 America MineiroSerie B
- 7 August 2019America Mineiro 4–3 LondrinaSerie B
- 18 November 2017Londrina 0–0 America MineiroSerie B
- 1 August 2017America Mineiro 3–2 LondrinaSerie B
Leading scorers: Londrina and America Mineiro
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
America Mineiro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
America Mineiro won 3–1 at Londrina. The model had leaned towards a win for Londrina at 56% and given a win for America Mineiro 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Artur (own goal) 21' for America Mineiro, Willian 30' for America Mineiro, Matías Segovia (penalty) 60' for America Mineiro, Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira 64' for Londrina. On expected goals it finished 1.70–1.77.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.