Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 FC Iberia 1999.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Dinamo Tbilisi, 28% draw, 30% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Tbilisi at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999
Line-ups
- 20Lucas FloresG
- 17P. PsaltisD
- 27N. KurdićD
- 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
- 13M. PourzitídisD
- 10G. KharaishviliM
- 8WeltonM
- 22N. NinuaM
- 33L. HouriM
- 12A. BahF
- 14M. Do CoutoF
- 42Saba TartarashviliG
- 11M. VatsadzeF
- 7K. DoltmurzievF
- 34M. GbomaduF
- 3A. KalandadzeD
- 23J. KankavaM
- 18T. KvaratskheliaF
- 6Leonardo SantosD
- 24B. OseiM
- 31G. MakaridzeG
- 40G. KobuladzeD
- 25A. AmisulashviliD
- 4V. SelimovićD
- 33marc jean tiboueD
- 6N. DadianiM
- 19N. SikharulashviliM
- 8B. KardavaM
- 10Z. NatchkebiaF
- 9A. DzaganiaF
- 26G. BeridzeF
- 11A. BartishviliM
- 30N. BochorishviliD
- 3P. CancarD
- 29L. ChikhradzeF
- 17S. EndeF
- 27G. KutsiaM
- 18Lucas BruneM
- 1T. MegrelishviliG
- 14I. AlhassanM
Form going into Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999
Dinamo Tbilisi
Erovnuli Liga
- W2-0away to Rustavi23 October 2026
- W3-1Spaeri18 October 2026
- L0-1away to Dinamo Batumi11 October 2026
FC Iberia 1999
Erovnuli Liga
- W3-2Torpedo Kutaisi26 October 2026
- W2-0away to Dila19 October 2026
- W2-1away to Meshakhte10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 32 | +20 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 33 | +13 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999
- 4 October 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–2 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 27 June 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiSuper Cup
- 16 May 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–0 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
- 15 March 2026FC Iberia 1999 0–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 26 November 2025FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 19 September 2025Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
Leading scorers: Dinamo Tbilisi and FC Iberia 1999
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
FC Iberia 1999
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 46 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Tbilisi and FC Iberia 1999 drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Tbilisi at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Tbilisi a 29.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 45.5% after a win, 23.0% after a draw, 11.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 23.0%, 6.5 points lower than before the match.
For FC Iberia 1999 the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 26.2% going in: 44.8% after a win, 26.3% after a draw, 12.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 26.3%.
Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.