30 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Drogheda United vs Galway United Premier Division prediction & result

Weavers Park, Drogheda
Referee: R. Harvey
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Drogheda United 2-0 Galway United.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Drogheda United, 29% draw, 33% Galway United — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Drogheda United at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Drogheda United99%Draw1%Galway United0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Brandon Kavanaghassist: Mark Doyle
32'
🔁ethan brien oout: Shane Farrell
45'
🔁Thomas Oluwaout: Keegan Ancelin
45'
🔁Conor Keeleyout: james bolger
45'
45'
🔁Junior Thiamout: David Hurley
⚽Mark Doyleassist: Fynn Talley
53'
🔁Brandon Kavanaghout: Jago Godden
60'
62'
🔁Ed McCarthyout: francely lomboto
🔁Kieran Cruiseout: Ryan Brennan
69'
73'
🔁Connor Barrattout: James Morahan
73'
🔁Jimmy Keohaneout: Connor Whittaker
82'
🔁Stephen Walshout: Frantz Pierrot

Match stats — Drogheda United vs Galway United

54%Possession46%
16Shots10
4On target5
6Corners5
1.02xG0.96

Goals against chances

Drogheda United2 from 1.02 xGmore than the chances were worth
Galway United0 from 0.96 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Drogheda United 3-5-2
  • 44Fynn Michael Cordell TalleyG
  • 4A. QuinnD
  • 22C. KeeleyD
  • 5Leo BurneyD
  • 2E. AgbajeM
  • 8Ethan O'BrienM
  • 10B. KavanaghM
  • 15A. BatesM
  • 31K. CruiseM
  • 11T. OluwaF
  • 14M. DoyleF
Substitutes
  • 25R. MarkeyF
  • 9K. AncelinF
  • 18J. BolgerD
  • 19R. BrennanM
  • 17S. FarrellM
  • 6J. GoddenM
  • 36theo hennessyG
  • 3C. KaneD
  • 32D. MareD
Coach: K. Doherty
Galway United 3-4-3
  • 32Vincent AngeliniG
  • 3Connor BarrattD
  • 2A. O'ConnorD
  • 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
  • 11K. TwardekM
  • 8A. BolgerM
  • 17Junior ThiamM
  • 20L. DevittM
  • 4J. KeohaneF
  • 7S. WalshF
  • 24E. McCarthyF
Substitutes
  • 54C. WhittakerM
  • 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
  • 6A. PiesoldM
  • 23F. PierrotF
  • 28J. MorahanD
  • 9F. LombotoF
  • 10D. HurleyM
  • 21D. ConnollyF
Coach: John Caulfield

Form going into Drogheda United vs Galway United

Drogheda United

Premier Division

  • L1-3away to Waterford23 October 2026
  • W2-0Derry City16 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Shamrock Rovers8 October 2026

Galway United

Premier Division

  • D0-0St Patrick's Athletic23 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Waterford19 October 2026
  • W2-0Shamrock Rovers16 October 2026
  • D1-1Shelbourne25 September 2026

What these results say

  • Galway United failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Galway United scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Galway United had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Drogheda United361010164457-1340
8Galway United361012144653-742

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Drogheda United vs Galway United

  • 4 September 2026Drogheda United 1–2 Galway UnitedFAI Cup
  • 7 August 2026Galway United 0–0 Drogheda UnitedPremier Division
  • 6 April 2026Drogheda United 2–3 Galway UnitedPremier Division
  • 6 February 2026Galway United 0–1 Drogheda UnitedPremier Division
  • 24 October 2025Galway United 1–1 Drogheda UnitedPremier Division
  • 4 July 2025Drogheda United 1–0 Galway UnitedPremier Division

Leading scorers: Drogheda United and Galway United

Drogheda United

GoalsAssists

  • M. Doyle111
  • B. Kavanagh65

Galway United

GoalsAssists

  • K. Twardek86
  • J. Keohane73

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Drogheda United beat Galway United 2–0. The model had made a win for Drogheda United its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Brandon Kavanagh 32' for Drogheda United, Mark Doyle 53' for Drogheda United. On expected goals it finished 1.02–0.96.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.