Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo Dresden 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Dynamo Dresden, 22% draw, 23% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dynamo Dresden at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. SchreiberG
- 32J. SternerD
- 39T. KellerD
- 42F. MullerD
- 19A. RossipalD
- 18R. WagnerM
- 6N. RappM
- 11K. InanogluM
- 27N. HauptmannM
- 20B. BobzienM
- 9V. VermeijF
- 40E. BethkeG
- 44S. StraudiD
- 17A. MuhamedbegovicD
- 29L. BoederD
- 8L. HerrmannM
- 16N. FrolingF
- 25J. OehmichenM
- 33C. DafernerF
- 10J. LemmerM
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 28C. LannertD
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 20A. VukoticD
- 3F. KleinhanslD
- 17K. KlefischM
- 23C. SickingerM
- 7N. WeisshauptM
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 44Y. FurukawaM
- 36M. SmitF
- 30A. BrunstG
- 49Y. LuhrsD
- 4G. DettoniD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 22L. KehlM
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 48M. MerxF
Form going into Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98
Dynamo Dresden
- L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026
SV Darmstadt 98
- D2-2Holstein Kiel8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98
- 16 August 2026Dynamo Dresden 1–0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 27 February 2026Dynamo Dresden 3–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 26 September 2025SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 30 October 2024Dynamo Dresden 2–3 SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal
- 26 February 2022Dynamo Dresden 0–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 19 September 2021SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Dynamo Dresden and SV Darmstadt 98
Dynamo Dresden
- J. Sterner2 goals1 assists
SV Darmstadt 98
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.